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. 2017 May 30;106(10):813–823. doi: 10.1007/s00392-017-1123-0

Table 2.

Studies for predictive scores related to outcomes of rhythm control or arrhythmia progression in patients with atrial fibrillation

First author, year Scores (points) Enrolled patients (n) pAF (%) CA protocol AFLAT-Free (%) Procedure times FU (months) C Index/AUC Predictive value CHADS2/CHA2DS2–VASc compared
Tang [21],
2012
HATCH (0–7) 488 100 CPVI 63.93 Single 27.4 ± 17.7 Not measured No Not compared
Maciej [23],
2013
ALARMEc (0–5) 213 47 Stepwise* 90 Repeated 24 0.657 vs. 0.533/0.519 Yes Worse
Ugur [25]
2013
BASE-AF2 (0–6) 236 79.6 Cryoablation 74.5 Single 20 0.94 (score ≥3) Yes Not compared
Letsas [31] 2014 CHADS2 (0–6)/CHA2DS2–VASc (0–9) 126 100 CPVI 70.6 Single 16 0.644/0.627 (score ≥2) Yes
Kornej [26], 2015 APPLE (0–5) 261 48 Stepwise* 38.3 Single ≥12 0.634 vs. 0.538/0.542 Yes Worse
Roger [28], 2016 CAAP-AF (0–13) 937 31.6 Stepwise* 79.1 Repeated 21.6 ± 1.6a 0.650 Yes Not compared
Mujovic [29], 2017 MB-LATER (0–6) 133 69.2 Stepwise* 85 Repeated 29 ± 10.1 0.782 vs. 0.552/0.519 Yes Worse

AFLAT atrial flutter or atrial tachycardia, AUC area under curve, CPVI circumferential pulmonary vein isolation, FU follow-up, pAF paroxysmal atrial fibrillation

* Stepwise, necessary additional linear lesion, or complex fractionated atrial electrogram-guided ablation after CPVI