Table 4. Results of short-run and long-run coefficients from ARDL(1,1,2,2,2,1) model.
Dependent variable is lnY | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
45 observations from 1970 to 2014 were used for the estimation | ||||
Variable | Coefficient | Standard error | t-Ratio[Prob] | |
Long-run | lnM | 0.2143*** | 0.0664 | 3.23[0.003] |
coefficients | lnF | 0.1969** | 0.0789 | 2.42[0.011] |
lnA | -0.0384 | 0.4685 | -0.08[0.935] | |
lnP | -0.5536* | 0.2890 | -1.92[0.066] | |
lnT | -0.6976 | 0.5071 | -1.38[0.180] | |
Short-run | ΔlnM | 0.1974 | 0.2427 | 0.81[0.423] |
coefficients | ΔlnF | -0.2505** | 0.1229 | -2.22[0.035] |
ΔlnA | 1.9851*** | 0.5950 | 3.34[0.002] | |
ΔlnP | 0.3071* | 0.1689 | 1.82[0.080] | |
ΔlnT | 0.1608 | 0.2692 | 0.60[0.555] | |
Error correction coefficient | ECMt-1 | -0.8167*** | 0.1639 | -4.98[0.000] |
Cons | 3.9876** | 1.6782 | 2.38[0.025] | |
Log likelihood = 111.8696 R-squared = 0.7961 VIF = 34.30 |
Adj R-squared = 0.6942 Root MSE = 0.0222 |
***Significance at 1% level;
** Significance at 5% level;
* Significance at 10% level