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. 2017 Sep 26;12(9):e0184474. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0184474

Table 4. Results of short-run and long-run coefficients from ARDL(1,1,2,2,2,1) model.

Dependent variable is lnY
45 observations from 1970 to 2014 were used for the estimation
Variable Coefficient Standard error t-Ratio[Prob]
Long-run lnM 0.2143*** 0.0664 3.23[0.003]
coefficients lnF 0.1969** 0.0789 2.42[0.011]
lnA -0.0384 0.4685 -0.08[0.935]
lnP -0.5536* 0.2890 -1.92[0.066]
lnT -0.6976 0.5071 -1.38[0.180]
Short-run ΔlnM 0.1974 0.2427 0.81[0.423]
coefficients ΔlnF -0.2505** 0.1229 -2.22[0.035]
ΔlnA 1.9851*** 0.5950 3.34[0.002]
ΔlnP 0.3071* 0.1689 1.82[0.080]
ΔlnT 0.1608 0.2692 0.60[0.555]
Error correction coefficient ECMt-1 -0.8167*** 0.1639 -4.98[0.000]
Cons 3.9876** 1.6782 2.38[0.025]
Log likelihood = 111.8696
R-squared = 0.7961
VIF = 34.30
Adj R-squared = 0.6942
Root MSE = 0.0222

***Significance at 1% level;

** Significance at 5% level;

* Significance at 10% level