Table 5.

Estimates of parameters for normal weight pre-treatment period (N=10) for both the population and single-subject models. Subject level estimates are provided for two randomly selected women.

Population Level Parameters
	Population Model		Single Subject Model
	PM	95% CI	MPM	95% CI
Population Means
${\overline{N}}_s^a$	5.3	(4.2, 6.4)	5.0	(3.9, 6.1)
Mass, μa	1.1	(0.4, 1.7)	−2.0	(−5.3, 1.4)
Width, μw	2.7	(−1.1, 6.2)	3.0	(−1.8, 7.8)
Baseline, μb	2.7	(1.5, 4.1)	3.5	(3.2, 3.8)
Half-life, μh	40.2	(31.9, 50.1)	53.1	(41.3, 64.2)
Subject-to-subject variation
Mass, σa	0.8	(0.3, 1.6)	6.0	(2.6, 10.3)
Width, σw	3.7	(0.1, 8.8)	8.1	(4.2, 12.7)
Baseline, σb	1.6	(0.4, 3.2)	3.3	(2.9, 3.6)
Half-life, σh	4.2	(0.2, 9.5)	21.5	(12.9, 31.9)
Pulse-to-pulse variation
Mass, υa	0.5	(0.3, 0.8)	2.9	(0.1, 9.3)
Width υw	0.9	(0.1, 2.8)	4.2	(0.1, 9.7)
Model Error
${\sigma }_{\epsilon }^2$	0.010	(0.008, 0.013)	0.018	(0.0006, 0.058)
Subject Specific Parameters (Subject ID4)
	Population Model		Single Subject Model
	PM	95% C.I.	PM	95% CI
Ns,i	5.5	(4,8)	4.5	(1,9)
μai	0.4	(−0.2,1.0)	−5.1	(−21.2,11.6)
μwi	0.09	(−9.0,1.3)	3.2	(−16.9,24.4)
θb,i	1.7	(1.3,2.1)	2.6	(1.6,3.0)
θh,i	39.6	(26.0,53.4)	44.0	(7.5,96.0)
Subject Specific Parameters (Subject ID8)
	Population Model		Single Subject Model
	PM	95% C.I.	PM	95% C.I.
Ns,i	5.4	(5,7)	5.5	(5,8)
μai	1.4	(0.9,2.0)	1.4	(0.3,2.1)
μwi	2.7	(−1.4,4.6)	1.1	(−11.9,5.5)
θb,i	2.4	(1.3,3.3)	1.6	(0.1,3.4)
θh,i	40.6	(29.6,53.7)	51.8	(28.1,77.9)

PM: Posterior Mean; 95% C.I.: 95% equal probability tails credible intervals; MPM: Mean of the posterior means.

^aN̄ is the mean of the posterior mean number of pulses for each individual.