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. 2017 Aug 28;114(38):E7910–E7918. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1704339114

Table 1.

Percentage change in average daily peak load by country relative to 2006–2012 for daily maximum temperatures under RCP-2.6, RCP-4.5, and RCP-8.5

Country 2020–2039 2040–2059 2060–2079 2080–2099
RCP-2.6 RCP-4.5 RCP-8.5 RCP-2.6 RCP-4.5 RCP-8.5 RCP-2.6 RCP-4.5 RCP-8.5 RCP-2.6 RCP-4.5 RCP-8.5
Austria −0.001 0.195 0.122 0.268 0.074 0.011 0.173 −0.058 −0.045 0.084 0.076 −0.106
Belgium 0.953 1.091 1.190 1.200 1.068 1.097 1.098 0.883 0.988 1.073 0.938 1.029
Bosnia–Herzegovina −0.164 0.418 0.204 0.238 0.360 0.240 0.219 0.221 0.858 −0.086 0.449 1.457
Bulgaria 1.914 3.452 2.610 2.732 3.348 3.071 2.918 3.294 5.103 2.645 4.185 6.535
Croatia 0.093 1.269 0.947 0.806 1.184 1.256 0.797 1.100 2.478 0.370 1.500 3.615
Czech Republic 0.474 0.819 0.909 1.013 0.632 0.692 0.766 0.543 0.652 0.670 0.782 0.563
Denmark −0.737 −0.657 −0.275 −0.246 −0.752 −0.785 −0.504 −1.008 −1.164 −0.421 −0.694 −1.731
Estonia −1.490 −1.531 −1.117 −1.082 −1.806 −1.910 −1.263 −1.971 −2.346 −1.306 −1.458 −3.345
Finland −2.544 −2.637 −2.419 −2.369 −2.727 −2.840 −2.363 −2.884 −3.141 −2.412 −2.573 −3.855
France 1.256 1.806 1.993 2.023 2.217 2.025 1.622 1.547 2.194 1.448 1.453 4.005
Germany 0.448 0.548 0.614 0.641 0.496 0.486 0.549 0.381 0.407 0.531 0.475 0.385
Great Britain 1.334 1.585 1.759 1.956 1.305 1.322 1.658 0.980 0.819 1.824 1.188 0.213
Greece −1.193 0.239 −1.021 −0.601 0.385 0.196 −0.723 0.771 1.988 −0.920 1.156 3.727
Hungary 0.029 0.702 0.657 0.395 0.503 0.689 0.418 0.619 1.100 0.182 0.740 1.594
Iceland −0.563 −0.527 −0.214 −0.544 −0.439 −0.621 −0.319 −0.595 −0.630 −0.218 −0.543 −0.793
Ireland 1.126 1.338 1.354 1.472 1.084 1.072 1.315 0.944 0.736 1.386 0.998 0.335
Italy −2.121 −1.866 −1.931 −1.801 −1.793 −1.909 −2.001 −1.934 −1.501 −2.040 −1.796 −0.921
Latvia −2.467 −2.445 −2.086 −2.013 −2.702 −2.696 −2.237 −2.803 −3.118 −2.266 −2.324 −3.864
Lithuania −1.693 −1.632 −1.303 −1.288 −1.836 −1.806 −1.493 −1.883 −2.121 −1.540 −1.476 −2.628
Luxembourg 1.191 1.316 1.379 1.360 1.288 1.340 1.300 1.150 1.294 1.264 1.228 1.421
Macedonia 1.633 3.170 2.028 2.547 3.104 3.098 2.513 3.286 5.368 2.229 3.992 7.625
Montenegro −1.191 −0.886 −1.051 −0.827 −0.928 −1.202 −0.882 −1.220 −0.937 −1.089 −0.914 −0.575
Netherlands 0.287 0.352 0.430 0.482 0.249 0.224 0.417 0.133 0.053 0.418 0.281 −0.151
Northern Ireland 1.462 1.650 1.753 1.822 1.391 1.403 1.676 1.247 0.996 1.820 1.318 0.570
Norway −2.531 −2.440 −1.917 −2.088 −2.578 −2.677 −2.168 −2.960 −3.250 −1.989 −2.477 −4.209
Poland 0.027 0.190 0.425 0.437 0.033 0.078 0.249 −0.017 −0.049 0.131 0.281 −0.253
Portugal 1.978 2.274 1.853 2.263 2.627 2.837 1.758 2.671 3.591 1.645 2.453 5.568
Romania 1.089 2.107 1.983 1.762 1.996 1.882 1.758 2.095 2.832 1.419 2.385 3.416
Serbia 2.770 4.535 3.800 3.773 4.335 4.290 3.843 4.244 6.013 3.290 4.884 7.732
Slovakia 0.559 1.084 1.158 1.046 0.827 0.978 0.937 0.861 1.125 0.713 1.056 1.320
Slovenia 0.356 0.743 0.616 0.675 0.683 0.653 0.602 0.560 0.951 0.480 0.712 1.251
Spain 1.485 1.376 1.276 1.662 2.009 2.169 1.350 2.044 3.472 1.255 2.078 5.572
Sweden −3.623 −3.571 −3.086 −3.034 −3.674 −3.818 −3.247 −4.081 −4.381 −3.236 −3.522 −5.378
Switzerland 1.197 1.339 1.316 1.519 1.256 1.018 1.356 0.874 0.850 1.269 1.029 0.962