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. 2017 Sep 28;12(9):e0185560. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0185560

Table 3. Prediction modela for the detection of ≥1 adenoma per patient based on multivariable logistic regression within the derivation cohort.

Factors Uncorrected multivariable
OR [95%-CI]
Correctedb β coefficients Correctedb multivariable
OR [95%-CI]
Intercept - -3.134 -
Age (per year increase) 1.02 [1.02–1.03] 0.023 1.02 [1.02–1.03]
Female 1.00 (ref) 0 (ref) 1.00 (ref)
Male 1.76 [1.62–1.92] 0.549 1.73 [1.60–1.88]
BMI (per kg/m2 increase) 1.02 [1.01–1.03] 0.017 1.02 [1.01–1.03]
ASA I 1.00 (ref) 0 (ref) 1.00 (ref)
ASA II 1.30 [1.18–1.44] 0.256 1.29 [1.17–1.43]
ASA III or IV 1.59 [1.34–1.90] 0.451 1.57 [1.32–1.86]
Ethnicity
 Not Hispanic or Latino 1.00 (ref) 0 (ref) 1.00 (ref)
 Hispanic or Latino 1.13 [1.00–1.28] 0.122 1.13 [1.00–1.27]
 Unknown or patient declined to provide 1.16 [1.05–1.29] 0.148 1.16 [1.05–1.28]
Indication for colonoscopyc
 Screening 1.00 (ref) 0 (ref) 1.00 (ref)
 Surveillance 1.41 [1.28–1.55] 0.332 1.39 [1.27–1.53]

ASA, American Society of Anesthesiology physical status class; BMI, body mass index; CI, confidence interval; OR, odds ratio; ref, reference category.

aThe presented odds ratios are adjusted for EQUIP intervention (colonoscopy performed after versus no intervention received) which had an uncorrected OR of 1.24 [95%-CI: 1.13–1.36] in the final model.

bCorrected after internal validation using bootstrap resampling with a shrinkage factor of 0.969. The intercept is additionally corrected by subtraction of the intercept correction of -0.017.

cThe indication is considered surveillance for patients with a personal history of colorectal adenomas or surveillance marked as indication on the GastroIntestinal Quality Improvement Consortium (GIQuIC) form.