Table 3. Prediction modela for the detection of ≥1 adenoma per patient based on multivariable logistic regression within the derivation cohort.
Factors | Uncorrected multivariable OR [95%-CI] |
Correctedb β coefficients | Correctedb multivariable OR [95%-CI] |
---|---|---|---|
Intercept | - | -3.134 | - |
Age (per year increase) | 1.02 [1.02–1.03] | 0.023 | 1.02 [1.02–1.03] |
Female | 1.00 (ref) | 0 (ref) | 1.00 (ref) |
Male | 1.76 [1.62–1.92] | 0.549 | 1.73 [1.60–1.88] |
BMI (per kg/m2 increase) | 1.02 [1.01–1.03] | 0.017 | 1.02 [1.01–1.03] |
ASA I | 1.00 (ref) | 0 (ref) | 1.00 (ref) |
ASA II | 1.30 [1.18–1.44] | 0.256 | 1.29 [1.17–1.43] |
ASA III or IV | 1.59 [1.34–1.90] | 0.451 | 1.57 [1.32–1.86] |
Ethnicity | |||
Not Hispanic or Latino | 1.00 (ref) | 0 (ref) | 1.00 (ref) |
Hispanic or Latino | 1.13 [1.00–1.28] | 0.122 | 1.13 [1.00–1.27] |
Unknown or patient declined to provide | 1.16 [1.05–1.29] | 0.148 | 1.16 [1.05–1.28] |
Indication for colonoscopyc | |||
Screening | 1.00 (ref) | 0 (ref) | 1.00 (ref) |
Surveillance | 1.41 [1.28–1.55] | 0.332 | 1.39 [1.27–1.53] |
ASA, American Society of Anesthesiology physical status class; BMI, body mass index; CI, confidence interval; OR, odds ratio; ref, reference category.
aThe presented odds ratios are adjusted for EQUIP intervention (colonoscopy performed after versus no intervention received) which had an uncorrected OR of 1.24 [95%-CI: 1.13–1.36] in the final model.
bCorrected after internal validation using bootstrap resampling with a shrinkage factor of 0.969. The intercept is additionally corrected by subtraction of the intercept correction of -0.017.
cThe indication is considered surveillance for patients with a personal history of colorectal adenomas or surveillance marked as indication on the GastroIntestinal Quality Improvement Consortium (GIQuIC) form.