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. 2017 Sep 27;97(3 Suppl):9–19. doi: 10.4269/ajtmh.15-0363

Table 2.

Plausibility study design strengths, limitations, and assumptions

Strengths Limitations Key assumptions
Intervention group serves as its own control over time No true counterfactual, so cause and effect cannot be conclusively inferred Program is preexisting or full (above threshold) coverage
No need to exclude any population or group from the intervention/program, so can be applied to programs with nation-wide coverage Multiple sources of data, analyses, and triangulations needed to establish plausible impact Pretest (baseline) data for the relevant indicators can serve as counterfactual scenario
Differential selection bias and attrition risk to cause bias and dilution of impact No other plausible explanations for observed outcomes or any likely confounder effects can be adjusted for
Can adapt to use existing data collected for other purposes (DHS, MICS) Data might not be as specific as required All-cause under-five mortality is a sensitive, specific, and time-sensitive proxy for changes in malaria-specific mortality in highly endemic countries