Table 2. Accuracy of prognostic estimates.
Predicted outcome | Actual outcome | Predictive value | 95% CI | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mortality | Death | Alive | |||
Death | 14 | 1 | PPV 0.93 | 0.66–0.99 | |
Alive | 16 | 29 | NPV 0.64 | 0.49–0.78 | |
FPR 0.03 | 0.00–0.20 | ||||
Functional outcome | Unfavorable | Favorable | |||
Unfavorable | 42 | 3 | PPV 0.93 | 0.81–0.98 | |
Favorable | 7 | 7 | NPV 0.50 | 0.24–0.76 | |
FPR 0.30 | 0.08–0.65 | ||||
Quality of life | Non-satisfactory | Satisfactory | |||
Non-satisfactory | 5 | 3 | PPV 0.63 | 0.26–0.90 | |
Satisfactory | 4 | 14 | NPV 0.78 | 0.52–0.93 | |
FPR 0.18 | 0.05–0.44 |
CI, confidence interval; PPV, positive predictive value; NPV, negative predictive value; FPR, false positive rate