Fig. 6.

95% posterior predictive intervals for [y_(t′+1):T|y_1:t′] (light grey bands) and 95% credible intervals for $[{\theta }_0^I,{\theta }_1^I,\cdots ,{\theta }_{t\prime }^I|y_{1:t\prime }]$ (dark grey bands). Posterior medians (black lines) and ILI+ observations (points) are also displayed for the 2010 nationwide, influenza seasons. The number at the top of each panel is t′. All plots are based on 5000 simulations.