Table 3. Population attributable fraction in absolute numbers and proportion of avoidable colorectal cancers by eliminating red and processed meat consumption.
Risk factor | Sex | Colorectal cancer incidence 2010 (reference) | Colorectal cancer incidence 2010 under simulation* (intervention) | 95% CI of optimal incidence in absolute numbers† | Proportion avoidable colorectal cancers* | 95% CI of proportion avoidable colorectal cancers† | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Numbers | Numbers | Lower limit | Upper limit | % | Lower limit % | Upper limit % | ||
Red meat | Men | 2,480 | 2,149 | 1,992 | 2,312 | 13 | 7 | 20 |
Women | 2,878 | 2,581 | 2,439 | 2,727 | 10 | 5 | 15 | |
Processed meat | Men | 2,480 | 2,118 | 2,003 | 2,236 | 15 | 10 | 19 |
Women | 2,878 | 2,490 | 2,363 | 2,618 | 14 | 9 | 18 |
*under elimination of red or processed meat consumption
†Based on the lower and upper end of the 95% confidence intervals of the meta-analyses of the relative risks for colorectal cancer for red and processed meat consumption