Table 2.
Parameter estimates of covariates of the Bayesian modeling frame and their uncertainty ranges.
| Parameter | Mean | SD | 2.5th percentile | 25th percentile | 50th percentile | 75th percentile | 97.5th percentile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Intercept | −12.194 | 11.584 | −34.206 | −19.566 | −12.455 | −5.268 | 12.106 |
| NDVI (5 km) | 7.391 | 4.083 | −0.869 | 4.841 | 7.405 | 9.997 | 15.437 |
| NDWI (1 km) | −26.992 | 14.684 | −58.940 | −35.807 | −26.018 | −17.248 | −0.0753 |
| TWI (5 km) | −1.653 | 1.408 | −4.460 | −2.544 | −1.631 | −0.765 | 1.001 |
| Plasmodium falciparum temperature suitability index | 0.00026 | 0.00009 | 0.00008 | 0.00021 | 0.00027 | 0.00032 | 0.00042 |
| Sufficient ownership of LLINa | −0.0632 | 0.0160 | −0.0963 | −0.0730 | −0.0628 | −0.0527 | −0.0331 |
| Treatment failure rate by artemisinin combination therapyb | 0.0377 | 0.0182 | 0.00181 | 0.0264 | 0.0374 | 0.0488 | 0.0754 |
aProportion of households in which distributed mosquito nets cover no more than two persons per net.
bPositive test for P. falciparum on day 28 or day 42.
NDVI, normalized difference vegetation index; NDWI, normalized difference water index; TWI, topographical wetness index; LLIN, long-lasting insecticide-treated net.