Table 2.
Estimated Annual Cost in GDP Terms, Relative to Baseline Scenario
| Year | Country | GDP (U.S.$ billions, 2015 prices) | GDP (%) | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scenarios | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| Current | U.S. | 411 | 280.6 | 357 | 2.28% | 1.56% | 1.98% |
| UK | 50.2 | 36.7 | 43.2 | 1.86% | 1.36% | 1.60% | |
| Japan | 138.6 | 87.9 | 125.8 | 2.92% | 1.86% | 2.66% | |
| Germany | 60 | 39.3 | 54.8 | 1.56% | 1.02% | 1.42% | |
| Canada | 21.4 | 13.5 | 19.8 | 1.35% | 0.85% | 1.24% | |
| 2020 | U.S. | 433.8 | 299.4 | 377.5 | 2.40% | 1.66% | 2.09% |
| UK | 53.8 | 40 | 46.4 | 1.99% | 1.48% | 1.72% | |
| Japan | 145.9 | 93.6 | 132.3 | 3.08% | 1.98% | 2.79% | |
| Germany | 62.3 | 40.9 | 56.5 | 1.61% | 1.06% | 1.47% | |
| Canada | 21.9 | 13.9 | 20.3 | 1.38% | 0.88% | 1.28% | |
| 2025 | U.S. | 456.1 | 318.6 | 396.9 | 2.53% | 1.77% | 2.20% |
| UK | 57.6 | 43.3 | 49.7 | 2.13% | 1.60% | 1.84% | |
| Japan | 151.7 | 98.3 | 137.5 | 3.20% | 2.07% | 2.90% | |
| Germany | 64.7 | 42.6 | 58.6 | 1.68% | 1.10% | 1.52% | |
| Canada | 22.5 | 14.4 | 20.8 | 1.42% | 0.91% | 1.31% | |
| 2030 | U.S. | 467.7 | 330.0 | 406.9 | 2.59% | 1.83% | 2.26% |
| UK | 58.7 | 44.1 | 50.6 | 2.17% | 1.63% | 1.87% | |
| Japan | 156.2 | 101.4 | 141.7 | 3.30% | 2.14% | 2.99% | |
| Germany | 69.1 | 46.6 | 62.9 | 1.79% | 1.21% | 1.63% | |
| Canada | 23.4 | 15.1 | 21.6 | 1.47% | 0.95% | 1.36% | |