Table 2.

Educational Outcomes in Follow-up survey (2005–7)

Dependent variable	Comparison group variable mean (s.d.)	Coefficient estimate (s.e.) on programme indicator
Panel A: Sample attrition
Surveyed in follow-up round (2005–7)	0.816 (0.388)	−0.007 (0.035)
Panel B: Test scores
Arithmetic test (normalized)	0.00 (1.00)	0.135 (0.102)
English vocabulary test (normalized)	0.00 (1.00)	0.162* (0.092)
Raven’s matrix test (normalized)	0.00 (1.00)	0.182** (0.075)
Reading test (normalized)	0.00 (1.00)	0.124* (0.071)
Swahili vocabulary test (normalized)	0.00 (1.00)	0.218** (0.088)
Test score mean effect	0.00 (1.00)	0.208** (0.092)
Test score mean effect, among those with baseline scores < + 2 s.d.	0.06 (0.96)	0.145* (0.082)
Test score mean effect, among schools with ≤ 5 predicted GSP winners	−0.06 (1.01)	0.177** (0.081)
Panel C: Schooling outcomes
Attended at least some secondary school (0–1)	0.30 (0.46)	0.087** (0.041)
Still in school, at time of survey (0–1)	0.52 (0.50)	0.079* (0.044)
Grades of school completed	7.8 (1.2)	0.088 (0.103)

Notes

Each row is from a separate OLS regression. Significant at 90% (*), 95% (**), 99% (***) confidence.

In panels B and C the outcome variable is regressed on the GSP (treatment) indicator, an indicator for student cohort, student age at time of the survey, educational attainment of each parent, and timing of the follow-up survey (coefficient estimates not shown). There are no additional regression controls in panel A. Standard errors are clustered by school. The sample size is 1387 observations in panels B and C. Details on the mean effect analysis are in the text. The test score mean effect in panel B includes the arithmetic, English, Raven’s matrix, reading and Swahili test results.