Table 3.
Health impact (deaths and DALYS) by disease and gender from changes in physical activity for each scenario (Median (% change from baseline)).
| SP EC | SP London 2012 | SP California | SP 2040 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Men (deaths) | ||||
| Stroke | -4 (− 0.1%) | − 28 (− 1%) | 118 (4.3%) | − 94 (− 3.4%) |
| Ischemic heart disease | − 11 (− 0.2%) | − 39 (− 0.8%) | 222 (4.6%) | − 165 (− 3.4%) |
| Other cardiovascular and circulatory diseases | − 5 (− 0.2%) | − 24 (− 0.8%) | 135 (4.6%) | − 98 (− 3.4%) |
| Type-2 diabetes | − 3 (− 0.3%) | − 11 (− 1%) | 47 (4.5%) | − 38 (− 3.6%) |
| Colon cancer | − 1 (− 0.1%) | − 4 (− 0.5%) | 17 (2.3%) | − 14 (− 1.9%) |
| Dementia and Alzheimer's disease | 2 (0.5%) | − 6 (− 1.6%) | 8 (2.1%) | − 11 (− 2.9%) |
| Depression | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) |
| Men (DALYs) | ||||
| Stroke | − 371 (− 0.4%) | − 498 (− 0.6%) | 4189 (5%) | − 2793 (− 3.3%) |
| Ischemic heart disease | − 602 (− 0.5%) | − 580 (− 0.5%) | 6426 (5.1%) | − 4112 (− 3.3%) |
| Other cardiovascular and circulatory diseases | − 235 (− 0.5%) | − 235 (− 0.5%) | 2432 (5.2%) | − 1526 (− 3.2%) |
| Type-2 diabetes | − 296 (− 0.6%) | − 84 (− 0.2%) | 3145 (5.9%) | − 1726 (− 3.3%) |
| Colon cancer | − 44 (− 0.3%) | − 35 (− 0.3%) | 385 (2.7%) | − 260 (− 1.9%) |
| Dementia and Alzheimer's disease | 9 (0.1%) | − 189 (− 1.3%) | 353 (2.5%) | − 411 (− 2.9%) |
| Depression | − 280 (− 0.8%) | 84 (0.2%) | 1779 (5.1%) | − 721 (− 2.1%) |
| Women (deaths) | ||||
| Stroke | − 5 (− 0.2%) | − 55 (− 1.9%) | 66 (2.3%) | − 177 (− 6.2%) |
| Ischemic heart disease | − 8 (− 0.2%) | − 79 (− 2%) | 82 (2.1%) | − 243 (− 6.3%) |
| Other cardiovascular and circulatory diseases | − 4 (− 0.1%) | − 67 (− 2.1%) | 65 (2%) | − 200 (− 6.1%) |
| Type-2 diabetes | − 3 (− 0.2%) | − 27 (− 2.1%) | 29 (2.3%) | − 84 (− 6.6%) |
| Colon cancer | − 1 (− 0.1%) | − 6 (− 0.7%) | 9 (1%) | − 22 (− 2.5%) |
| Breast cancer | − 2 (− 0.2%) | − 6 (− 0.5%) | 25 (1.9%) | − 37 (− 2.9%) |
| Dementia and Alzheimer's disease | 2 (0.2%) | − 19 (− 2.2%) | 0 (0%) | − 40 (− 4.6%) |
| Depression | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) |
| Women (DALYs) | ||||
| Stroke | − 284 (− 0.4%) | − 967 (− 1.3%) | 2856 (3.8%) | − 4728 (− 6.3%) |
| Ischemic heart disease | − 436 (− 0.4%) | − 1429 (− 1.4%) | 3817 (3.7%) | − 6649 (− 6.4%) |
| Other cardiovascular and circulatory diseases | − 150 (− 0.4%) | − 529 (− 1.3%) | 1646 (3.9%) | − 2647 (− 6.3%) |
| Type-2 diabetes | − 305 (− 0.5%) | − 639 (− 1%) | 3006 (4.7%) | − 4201 (− 6.6%) |
| Colon cancer | − 28 (− 0.2%) | − 60 (− 0.4%) | 247 (1.6%) | − 380 (− 2.5%) |
| Breast cancer | − 55 (− 0.2%) | − 64 (− 0.2%) | 713 (2.5%) | − 819 (− 2.9%) |
| Dementia and Alzheimer's disease | − 18 (− 0.1%) | − 338 (− 2%) | 156 (0.9%) | − 861 (− 5%) |
| Depression | − 135 (− 0.3%) | − 25 (0%) | 2503 (4.9%) | − 2287 (− 4.4%) |