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. 2017 Sep 15;33(5):369–409. doi: 10.1016/j.joa.2017.08.001

Table 13.

Advantages and disadvantages of AF-related endpoints in AF ablation trials

Endpoint Advantages Disadvantages Relevance and Comments
Freedom from AF/AFL/AT recurrence "gold standard" is 30 seconds
  • -

    Has been in use for many years

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    Can be used to compare results of new trials with historical trials

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    Sets a high bar for AF elimination

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    Can systematically underestimate the efficacy of AF ablation, particularly for persistent AF, if 30-second cutoff is used

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    Particularly well suited for paroxysmal AF outcomes

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    Reporting of cutoffs other than 30 seconds encouraged as secondary endpoints to better contextualize results

  • -

    May be reported as proportion of patients free from arrhythmia or time to recurrence

Freedom from stroke-relevant AF/AFL/AT-duration cutoff of 1 hour
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    Useful for trials in which interest is more for prognostic change conferred by ablation rather than elimination of all arrhythmias

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    No consistent definition of what a stroke-relevant duration of AF is: ranges from 6 minutes to 24 hours in literature

  • -

    More than 1 hour could be a useful cutoff based on results of 505 trial

  • -

    May be reported as proportion of patients free from arrhythmia or time to recurrence

Freedom from AF/AFL/AT requiring intervention (emergency visits, cardioversion, urgent care visit, reablation, etc.)
  • -

    Can provide an endpoint more relevant to systemic costs of AF recurrence

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    Clinically relevant

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    Will overestimate efficacy of ablation by ignoring shorter episodes not requiring intervention that still might be important to quality of life or stroke

  • -

    Determination of what is an "intervention" must be prespecified in protocol and biases mitigated to avoid over- or underintervention in the trial

Freedom from persistent AF/AFL/AT-duration cutoff of 7 days
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    Useful for trials assessing additional substrate modification in persistent AF

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    Can systematically overestimate the efficacy of AF ablation, particularly for persistent AF

  • -

    Can require continuous monitoring to definitively assess if episode is >7 days

Freedom from AF/AFL/AT on previously ineffective antiarrhythmic therapy
  • -

    If patient maintains sinus rhythm on previously ineffective drug therapy, this may be considered a clinically relevant, successful outcome

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    Will increase the success rate compared with off-drug success

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    May not be relevant to patients hoping to discontinue drug therapy

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    Postablation drug and dosage of drug should be identical to preablation drug and dosage

Significant reduction in AF burden: >75% reduction from pre- to postablation and/or total postablation burden <12%
  • -

    Can be useful in persistent AF studies, but might not be suited for early, paroxysmal AF studies

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    Ideally requires continuous monitoring using an implantable device

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    No scientific basic exists showing that a 75% reduction in AF burden impacts hard endpoints, including heart failure, stroke, and mortality

  • -

    AF burden can be estimated by intermittent monitoring and reporting of patient symptoms and recurrences like a "time in therapeutic range" report for oral anticoagulation; see text

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    Could also see 75% reduction in number and duration of AF episodes

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    Because there is no firm scientific basis for selecting the cutoff of 75%, this prior recommendation is provided only as an example of what future clinical trials may choose to use as a definition of clinical/partial success

Prevention in AF progression: time to first episode of persistent AF (>7 days)
  • -

    Does not assume that total elimination of AF is required

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    Well suited for paroxysmal or "early" AF studies in which goal is to prevent progression to persistent AF

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    Prevention in progression might be irrelevant for stroke or thromboembolic outcomes

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    Long follow-up time might be required unless population is "enriched"

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    Can ideally require continuous implantable monitoring

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    Might be useful for specific populations such as heart failure or hypertrophic cardiomyopathy, in which progression to persistent AF can lead to increased hospitalization

Regression of AF: reduction in burden to a given threshold or conversion of persistent to paroxysmal AF
  • -

    Does not assume that total elimination of AF is required

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    Well suited for persistent "late" AF studies in which goal is to regress to paroxysmal AF, which might be easier to control with drug therapy

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    Regression endpoint will overestimate efficacy of AF ablation

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    Might ideally require continuous implantable monitoring

  • -

    Patients will require ongoing drug therapy

  • -

    Could be particularly useful for long-standing persistent AF populations with structural heart disease, heart failure, etc.

Acute AF termination during ablation procedure
  • -

    Could provide indication of successful modification of substrate responsible for maintaining AF, most relevant to persistent or long-standing persistent AF

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    Limited studies have linked acute AF termination to long-term success

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    Relevance of acute AF termination has not consistently been shown to correlate to long-term success

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    Endpoint might not be relevant to paroxysmal AF patients in whom AF might terminate spontaneously

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    Some studies employ administration of intravenous or oral antiarrhythmics during ablation that could cause spontaneous termination

  • -

    Studies consider termination as reversion to sinus rhythm, whereas others consider reversion to any regular tachycardia as termination

  • -

    Intraprocedural administration of preprocedural oral antiarrhythmics or intraprocedural intravenous antiarrhythmics are discouraged

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    If antiarrhythmics are used, their use and dosage before and during the ablation should be clearly documented

  • -

    Termination to sinus rhythm and termination to another regular tachycardia (AT or AFL) should be separately reported

AF = atrial fibrillation; AFL = atrial flutter; AT = atrial tachycardia.