Table 4. Model estimated parameters.

Notation	Description	Ranges / priors
$t_0$	time point of first case (in a human)	($\mathrm{\infty }$, $\mathrm{\infty }$)
$K$	aquatic carrying capacity	(0, $\mathrm{\infty }$)
$\eta$	linear factor for mosquito mortality	(0, $\mathrm{\infty }$)
$\alpha$	linear factor for extrinsic incubation period	(0, $\mathrm{\infty }$)
$\rho$	non-linear factor for effects of humidity and rainfall	(0, $\mathrm{\infty }$)
${\sigma }^h$	human infectious period	(0, 15)
${\gamma }^h$	human (intrinsic) incubation period	(0, 15)
$\zeta$	observation rate	(0, 1)