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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2017 Oct 13.
Published in final edited form as: Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev. 2012 Feb 28;21(5):793–799. doi: 10.1158/1055-9965.EPI-11-1005

Table 3.

Performance characteristics of HCC surveillance tests

Test Sensitivity (%) Specificity (%) Positive
likelihood
ratio
Negative
likelihood
ratio
Sensitivity for
early-stage
HCCa (%)
AFP 27/41 (65.9) 363/401 (90.5) 7.0 0.38 19/41 (46.3)
Ultrasound 18/41 (43.9)b 367/401 (91.5) 5.2 0.61 13/41 (31.7)
Ultrasound and AFP 37/41 (90.2)b 334/401 (83.3) 5.4 0.12 26/41 (63.4)
a

Early-stage tumors were defined by the Milan criteria (one tumor <5 cm in maximum diameter or 3 tumors <3 cm each).

b

When excluding the 10 patients without an ultrasound within 6 months of HCC diagnosis, sensitivity of ultrasound alone was 58.1% (18 of 31) and sensitivity of combination ultrasound/AFP was 87.1% (27 of 31).