Table 6.
Estimated means and 95% confidence intervals for the outcomes given caffeine or placebo and a certain probability
| Outcome | Pill Given | Placebo | Caffeine | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Probability | π = 0 | π = 0.5 | π = 1 | π = 0 | π = 0.5 | π = 1 | |
| Mean Time to a Correct Hit | 0.72 (0.63,0.81) | 0.74 (0.69,0.80) | 0.77 (0.63,0.91) | 0.50 (0.40,0.60) | 0.54 (0.51,0.58) | 0.58 (0.52,0.65) | |
| Probability of a Correct Hit | 88.9% (87.2,90.5) | 88.8% (87.8,89.6) | 88.6% (85.8,90.8) | 95.3% (93.5,96.6) | 93.7% (92.9,94.4) | 91.6% (90.0,93.1) | |
| Number of False Alarms | 2.01 (1.56,2.47) | 1.66 (1.39,1.93) | 1.31 (0.62,1.99) | 1.90 (1.16,2.64) | 1.52 (1.24,1.79) | 1.14 (0.54,1.63) | |
| Total Mood Displacement | 9.6 (−0.1,19.4) | 12.5 (7.1,18.0) | 15.5 (0.8,30.1) | 12.8 (−1.9,27.4) | 6.2 (0.8,11.7) | −0.3 (−10.1,9.4) | |
| Anger-Hostility | 2.94 (1.28,4.60) | 2.38 (1.45,3.31) | 1.82 (−0.68,4.32) | 2.18 (−0.32,4.68) | 2.25 (1.32,3.18) | 2.32 (0.66,3.98) | |
| Confusion-Bewilderment | 5.98 (3.98,7.99) | 7.25 (6.12,8.37) | 8.51 (5.49,11.53) | 6.97 (3.96,9.99) | 6.43 (5.30,7.56) | 5.88 (3.88,7.89) | |
| Depression-Dejection | 2.83 (0.84,4.81) | 3.12 (2.01,4.24) | 3.42 (0.43,6.40) | 1.52 (−1.47,4.50) | 1.93 (0.81,3.04) | 2.34 (0.36,4.33) | |
| Fatigue-Inertia | 6.13 (3.75,8.50) | 6.79 (5.46,8.12) | 7.46 (3.89,11.03) | 7.10 (3.54,10.67) | 5.11 (3.77,6.44) | 3.11 (0.74,5.48) | |
| Friendliness | 13.9 (12.0,15.7) | 12.7 (11.7,13.7) | 11.5 (8.8,14.3) | 11.6 (8.9,14.4) | 13.1 (12.1,14.1) | 14.6 (12.8,16.4) | |
| Tension-Anxiety | 5.54 (3.38,7.70) | 5.90 (4.69,7.12) | 6.26 (3.01,9.51) | 4.70 (1.44,7.95) | 5.60 (4.39,6.82) | 6.51 (4.35,8.67) | |
| Vigor-Activity | 13.8 (11.1,16.6) | 12.9 (11.4,14.5) | 12.0 (7.9,16.2) | 9.7 (5.5,12.9) | 15.1 (13.5,16.6) | 20.5 (17.7,23.2) | |