Table 3.
Variables | Univariate Cox Model Hazard Ratios (95% CI) | Multivariate TRF + CIMT Cox Model Hazard Ratios (95% CI) | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ||||||
Men | Women | Overall | Men | Women | Overall | |
Carotid intima-media thickness (mm) | 8.9 (4.0 – 19.9)* | 10.6 (6.6 – 17.0)* | 10.2 (6.7 – 15.4)* | 4.3 (1.6 – 11.6)* | 4.2 (2.3 – 7.7)* | 3.6 (2.1 – 6.0)* |
Age (years) at baseline visit | 1.9 (1.5 – 2.3)* | 2.3 (1.9 – 2.8)* | 2.1 (1.8 – 2.4)* | 1.5 (1.2 – 1.9)* | 1.8 (1.4 – 2.3)* | 1.7 (1.4 – 2.0)* |
Body mass index (kg/m2) | 1.0 (0.8 – 1.2) | 0.9 (0.8 – 1.1) | 0.9 (0.8 – 1.0) | |||
Current smoking status (yes or no) | 1.5 (0.8 – 2.7) | 1.9 (1.1 – 3.2)* | 1.7 (1.2 – 2.5)* | 2.7 (1.6 – 4.6)* | 2.1 (1.4 – 3.2)* | |
Diastolic blood pressure (mmHg) | 0.9 (0.8 – 1.1) | 1.0 (0.9 – 1.1) | 1.0 (0.9 – 1.1) | |||
Systolic blood pressure (mmHg) | 1.3 (1.1 – 1.4)* | 1.4 (1.3 – 1.5)* | 1.4 (1.3 – 1.5)* | 1.2 (1.1 – 1.4)* | 1.2 (1.1 – 1.3)* | |
Total cholesterol (mg/dL) | 0.8 (0.7 – 1.0) | 1.3 (1.2 – 1.5)* | 1.1 (1.0 – 1.2) | |||
High density lipoprotein cholesterol (mg/dL) | 1.1 (0.9 – 1.3) | 1.0 (0.8 – 1.1) | 1.0 (0.9 – 1.1) | |||
Low density lipoprotein cholesterol (mg/dL) | 0.8 (0.7 – 1.0) | 1.3 (1.1 – 1.5)* | 1.1 (1.0 – 1.2) | 0.8 (0.6 – 1.0) | ||
Diabetes status (yes or no) | 3.1 (1.8 – 5.1)* | 2.8 (1.9 – 4.1)* | 2.8 (2.1 – 3.9)* | 2.2 (1.3 – 3.7)* | 1.9 (1.3 – 2.9)* | 2.0 (1.5 – 2.8)* |
Hypertension status (yes or no) | 2.4 (1.4 – 4.1)* | 2.3 (1.5 – 3.5)* | 2.3 (1.7 – 3.2)* | |||
| ||||||
Variables | C-Statistics (95% CI) | |||||
After calibrated with 5-year survival probabilities | ||||||
| ||||||
Carotid intima-media thickness (mm) | .650 (.557 – .743) | .723 (.657 – .789) | .697 (.643 – .751) | |||
Age (years) | .728 (.639 – .817) | .758 (.701 – .814) | .746 (.697 – .795) | |||
Significant traditional risk factors** | .754 (.683 – .826) | .837 (.794 – .881) | .802 (.762 – .841) | |||
Final model=carotid intima-media thickness + significant traditional risk factors** | .763 (.701 – .825) | .842 (.798 – .886) | .805 (.768 – .843) |
CIMT, carotid intima-media thickness; TRF, traditional risk factors;
p-value < 0.05
Significant traditional risk factors included in the Cox models for men = age, diabetes status and LDL cholesterol
Significant traditional risk factors included in the Cox models for women and for overall = age, diabetes status, current smoking status, and systolic blood pressure