Table A3.

TERGM different cut-offs

Formation Models	Model 1a Cut-off 0.0025	Model 2a Cut-off 0.0030	Model 3a Cut-off 0.010	Model 4a Backbone - alpha 0.01
Network structure
Edge	-3.52 (0.13) ^***	-3.62 (0.15) ^***	-4.22 (0.31) ^***	-4.92 (0.25) ^***
Reciprocity	0.16 (0.1)	0.12 (0.12)	-3.12 (0.75) ^***	0.32 (0.24)
Geometrical weighted in-degree (popularity spread)	-3.74 (0.31) ^***	-3.48 (0.25) ^***	-4.6 (0.34) ^***	-1.47 (0.21) ^***
Receiver effects (“Work” community effects)
Violent crime rate	-3.93 (1.2) ^**	-3.31 (1.54) ^*	8.66 (2.84) ^**	9.56 (2.86) ^***
Residential stability	-0.61 (0.04) ^***	-0.59 (0.05) ^***	-0.86 (0.19) ^***	-0.34 (0.09) ^***
Racial and ethnic diversity	-0.25 (0.04) ^***	-0.3 (0.04) ^***	-0.2 (0.11) ^†	-0.17 (0.09) ^†
Density of local jobs	4.34 (0.31) ^***	3.25 (0.28) ^***	0.33 (0.36)	0.74 (0.27) ^**
Sender effects (“Home” community effects)
Violent crime rate	0.75 (1.42)	-3.75 (1.72) ^*	-4.81 (3.7)	-8.59 (3.16) ^**
Residential stability	0.22 (0.05) ^***	0.27 (0.05) ^***	0.82 (0.21) ^***	0.59 (0.09) ^***
Racial and ethnic diversity	0.02 (0.05)	0.08 (0.05)	0.26 (0.12) ^*	0.36 (0.1) ^***
Density of local jobs	1.69 (0.31) ^***	1.22 (0.27) ^***	0.09 (0.37)	-0.18 (0.28)
Relational effects
Spatial proximity	0.8 (0.14) ^***	1.17 (0.15) ^***	1.41 (0.27) ^***	2.59 (0.19) ^***
Transportation	0.29 (0.03) ^***	0.27 (0.03) ^***	0.28 (0.05) ^***	0.02 (0.03)
Dissimilarity
Violent crime rate	-3.98 (1.49) ^**	-4.19 (1.77) ^*	-2.46 (3.62)	-8.35 (3.49) ^*
Residential stability	-0.23 (0.05) ^***	-0.18 (0.05) ^***	-0.76 (0.22) ^***	-0.06 (0.1)
Racial and ethnic diversity	-0.26 (0.05) ^***	-0.11 (0.05) ^*	-0.26 (0.12) ^*	-0.67 (0.11) ^***
Density of local jobs	-1.72 (0.31) ^***	-1.2 (0.27) ^***	0.17 (0.39)	0.34 (0.29)
AIC	-463210	-594497	-741753	-740628
BIC	-46306	-594349	-741601	-740476

Dissolution models	Model 1b Cut-off 0.0025	Model 2b Cut-off 0.0030	Model 3b Cut-off 0.010	Model 4b Backbone - alpha 0.01

Network structure
Edge	0.92 (0.15) ^***	1.18 (0.16) ^***	-0.36 (0.46)	0.91 (0.36) ^*
Reciprocity	0.01 (0.11)	0.2 (0.12) ^†	2.23 (2.59)	1.47 (0.27) ^***
Geometrical weighted in-degree (popularity spread)	-2.47 (0.28) ^***	-1.82 (0.25) ^***	-1.98 (0.42) ^***	-1.12 (0.29) ^***
Receiver effects (“Work” community effects)
Violent crime rate	-3.78 (1.65) ^*	-6.13 (1.83) ^***	6.18 (5.09)	-19.31 (4.22) ^***
Residential stability	-0.35 (0.05) ^***	-0.52 (0.05) ^***	0.06 (0.25)	-0.32 (0.13) ^*
Racial and ethnic diversity	-0.1 (0.05) ^*	-0.11 (0.05) ^*	0.07 (0.17)	-0.1 (0.12)
Density of local jobs	1.92 (0.24) ^***	0.91 (0.17) ^***	1.81 (0.41) ^***	2.59 (0.4) ^***
Sender effects (“Home” community effects)
Violent crime rate	-4.55 (1.42) ^**	-3.99 (1.59) ^*	-3.98 (3.72)	8.01 (3.51) ^*
Residential stability	0.17 (0.05) ^**	0.15 (0.06) ^*	-1 (0.35) ^**	0.31 (0.12) ^**
Racial and ethnic diversity	0.17 (0.05) ^***	0.18 (0.05) ^***	-0.18 (0.14)	0.19 (0.11) ^†
Density of local jobs	0.32 (0.24)	-0.07 (0.16)	0.01 (0.31)	-0.14 (0.31)
Relational effects
Spatial proximity	1.05 (0.12) ^***	1.19 (0.13) ^***	1.17 (0.35) ^***	0.64 (0.25) ^*
Transportation	0.21 (0.02) ^***	0.16 (0.02) ^***	0.11 (0.05) ^*	0.08 (0.04) ^*
Dissimilarity
Violent crime rate	-4.5 (1.62) ^**	-0.65 (1.86)	-2.13 (4.8)	4.14 (4.93)
Residential stability	0.06 (0.05)	0.02 (0.06)	0.93 (0.35) ^**	-0.46 (0.13) ^***
Racial and ethnic diversity	0.04 (0.05)	-0.18 (0.05) ^**	-0.02 (0.17)	-0.27 (0.15) ^†
Density of local jobs	-0.29 (0.24)	0.07 (0.16)	-0.28 (0.34)	-0.1 (0.32)
AIC	5903	5538	1131	1373
BIC	6024	5658	1233	1476

Notes: Main cells represent ERGM estimates. Standard errors in parentheses. N = 77 nodes (community areas).

^***

p < .001,

^**

p < .01,

p < .05,

^†

p <.10.

The model with cut-off 0.0025 includes only 2002-2011 period. The model with cut-off 0.0030 includes only 2003-2011 period.