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. 2017 Sep 15;108(11):2221–2228. doi: 10.1111/cas.13384

Table 3.

Prognostic factors for recurrence and progression in 130 patients with NMIBC

Variables Intravesical recurrence‐free survival Progression‐free survival
Univariate Multivariatea Univariate Multivariatea
HR 95% CI P‐value HR 95% CI P‐value HR 95% CI P‐value HR 95% CI P‐value
Age (years)
≥70/<70 1.39 0.73–2.66 0.34 NA 6.70 2.09–21.5 0.035 3.35 0.74–15.1 0.12
Sex
Female/Male 1.27 0.45–3.54 0.62 NA 3.83 0.65–22.5 0.018 3.57 0.95–13.3 0.06
T stage
T1 or isolated Tis/Ta 1.64 0.85–3.36 0.12 NA 9.44 2.87–31.1 0.0002 5.58 1.51–20.6 0.01
Tumor grade
High/Low 1.73 0.91–3.30 0.083 0.99 0.47–2.07 0.97 9.64 3.08–30.2 0.0002 0.89 0.62–12.5 0.93
Multiplicity
Multiple/Solitary 1.63 0.86–3.08 0.14 NA 2.49 0.76–8.12 0.16 NA
Carcinoma in situ
Yes/No 1.60 0.79–3.23 0.14 NA 6.67 1.96–22.7 0.001 1.92 0.50–7.28 0.35
COL4A1 (ng/mL)
≥2.76/<2.76 3.26 1.71–6.23 0.002 NA 5.00 1.52–16.2 0.023 NA
COL13A1 (ng/mL)
≥0.45/<0.45 2.64 1.38–5.03 0.005 NA 2.79 0.85–9.10 0.11 NA
No. high COL
1/0 2.39 0.84–6.75 0.11 NA 3.48 1.08–11.3 0.047 NA
2/0 2.91 1.44–8.28 0.008 NA 4.32 1.27–15.2 0.04 NA
COL4A1 + COL13A1 (ng/mL)
≥3.40/<3.40 3.10 1.61–5.87 0.001 2.13 1.11–7.11 0.029 5.06 1.55–16.5 0.021 1.97 0.48–8.10 0.24
CYFRA21‐1 (ng/mL)
≥4.06/<4.06 3.42 1.74–6.72 0.0007 2.12 0.91–4.97 0.083 2.78 0.85–9.07 0.11 NA
NMP‐22 (U/mL)
≥6.36/<6.36 1.58 0.83–3.01 0.16 NA 2.88 0.88–9.41 0.10 NA
a

Treatment‐adjusted multivariate Cox regression analysis; CI, confidence interval; COL, collagen; COL13A1, collagen type 13 alpha 1; COL4A1, collagen type 4 alpha 1; CYFRA21‐1, fragments of cytokeratin‐19; HR, hazard ratio; NA, not analyzed; NMIBC, non‐muscle invasive BCa; NMP‐22, nuclear matrix protein 22.