Table 3.

Multinomial Logistic Regression Models of Heavy Drinking Class Membership

	MEN (n=1447)		WOMEN (n=1579)
	Persistent High vs. Declining		Persistent High vs. Declining
	Model 1	Model 2	Model 1	Model 2
Race/ethnicity (ref=White)
Black	1.15 (0.62–2.13)	1.09 (0.57–2.07)	2.65 (1.44–4.89)**	1.95 (1.07–3.53)*
Latino	1.70 (0.98–2.96)†	1.67 (0.95–2.91)†	1.80 (0.78–4.17)	1.59 (0.70–3.63)
Age	1.02 (1.00–1.03)*	1.02 (1.00–1.03)*	1.03 (1.01–1.05)*	1.03 (1.01–1.05)**
Family history of alcoholism (y/n)	1.20 (0.81–1.76)	1.15 (0.77–1.70)	1.31 (0.84–2.05)	1.08 (0.69–1.68)
Cumulative SED (range: 0–6)		1.05 (0.89–1.25)		1.43 (1.17–1.76)***
	Persistent High vs. Stable Low		Persistent High vs. Stable Low
Race/ethnicity (ref=White)
Black	1.09 (0.54–2.19)	0.90 (0.46–1.76)	1.57 (0.87–2.83)	1.14 (0.64–2.02)
Latino	1.38 (0.76–2.53)	1.19 (0.63–2.25)	1.07 (0.51–2.24)	0.93 (0.44–1.99)
Age	0.98 (0.97–1.00)*	0.98 (0.96–1.00)*	0.98 (0.96–1.00)*	0.98 (0.96–1.00)*
Family history of alcoholism (y/n)	1.37 (0.86–2.19)	1.21 (0.77–1.92)	1.99 (1.31–3.03)***	1.56 (1.03–2.37)*
Cumulative SED (range: 0–6)		1.23 (0.96–1.58)		1.50 (1.25–1.79)***

Notes. Relative risk ratios shown. SED = socioeconomic disadvantage.

^†p<.10,

^*p<.05,

^**p<.01,

^***p≤.001.