Fig. 3.
Inferred fragmentation scenario for the European brown bear. Posterior distributions in Right refer to the ABC metapopulation model (SI Appendix, section S5.2 has details); connectivity refers to Nm as the product of the effective population size of a deme, N, and the migration rate, m, per generation. Nanc (in individuals) is the ancestral population size before any fragmentation. T5 (in years) is the time of brown bear spread in Europe. N1m1 is migration parameter among European brown bear populations before T3. T3 (in years) is the time of the decrease in connectivity among European brown bear populations. N2m2 is migration parameter among European brown bear populations after T3. Dashed lines represent prior distributions.