Table 3. Multivariate clinical prediction models for CCI.
Multivariate clinical prediction models revealed that age ≥ 55 years, systolic hypotension ≤ 70 mmHg, transfusion ≥ 5 units PRBC within 24-hours, and Denver MOF score at 72-hours as independent predictors of CCI.
Model | O.R. | 95% C.I. |
---|---|---|
| ||
Baseline (24-hour) model† | ||
Age ≥55 | 3.7 | (1.3, 10.9) |
Lowest admission systolic blood pressure ≤ 70 mmHg | 4.0 | (1.3, 11.6) |
PRBC administrated within 24 hours ≥ 5 unit | 5.3 | (1.7, 16.5) |
Denver MOF score at 24 hours | 2.9 | (1.5, 5.5) |
Post resuscitation (72-hour) model†† | ||
Age ≥55 | 3.5 | (1.2, 10.4) |
Lowest admission systolic blood pressure ≤ 70 mmHg | 3.0 | (1.0, 9.4) |
PRBC administered within 24 hours ≥ 5 units | 3.2 | (1.0, 9.7) |
Denver MOF score at 72 hours | 3.0 | (1.7, 5.2) |
Abbreviations: O.R. = odds ratio; C.I. = confidence interval; PRBC = Packed red blood cells (unit; 300cc) transfusion administered within the fırst 24 hours; MOF, multiple organ failure.
Area under receiver operator curve = 0.84 (0.75, 0.93)
Area under receiver operator curve = 0.87 (0.79, 0.95)