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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2018 Dec 1.
Published in final edited form as: Crit Care Med. 2017 Dec;45(12):1989–1996. doi: 10.1097/CCM.0000000000002697

Table 3. Multivariate clinical prediction models for CCI.

Multivariate clinical prediction models revealed that age ≥ 55 years, systolic hypotension ≤ 70 mmHg, transfusion ≥ 5 units PRBC within 24-hours, and Denver MOF score at 72-hours as independent predictors of CCI.

Model O.R. 95% C.I.

Baseline (24-hour) model
 Age ≥55 3.7 (1.3, 10.9)
 Lowest admission systolic blood pressure ≤ 70 mmHg 4.0 (1.3, 11.6)
 PRBC administrated within 24 hours ≥ 5 unit 5.3 (1.7, 16.5)
 Denver MOF score at 24 hours 2.9 (1.5, 5.5)
Post resuscitation (72-hour) model††
 Age ≥55 3.5 (1.2, 10.4)
 Lowest admission systolic blood pressure ≤ 70 mmHg 3.0 (1.0, 9.4)
 PRBC administered within 24 hours ≥ 5 units 3.2 (1.0, 9.7)
 Denver MOF score at 72 hours 3.0 (1.7, 5.2)

Abbreviations: O.R. = odds ratio; C.I. = confidence interval; PRBC = Packed red blood cells (unit; 300cc) transfusion administered within the fırst 24 hours; MOF, multiple organ failure.

Area under receiver operator curve = 0.84 (0.75, 0.93)

††

Area under receiver operator curve = 0.87 (0.79, 0.95)