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. 2017 Apr 12;4(4):417–431. doi: 10.1002/ehf2.12151

Table A3.

Net reclassification improvement examine the incremental value of ECG markers over clinical (model I), ECG marker over clinical +1 echo (model II), and ECG marker over clinical +2 echo markers (model III)

Model I (clinical + ≥1 abnormal ECG marker) Increased risk Decreased risk Net correctly reclassified %
Composite endpoints (n = 49) Quartile 1 (<6.24%) Quartile 2 (6.24–9.57%) Quartile 3 (9.57–15.6%) Quartile 4 (≥15.69%) n n %
(Clinical)
Quartile 1 (<6.24%) 5 0 0 0 6 1 10.2
Quartile 2 (6.24–9.57%) 1 6 0 0
Quartile 3 (9.57–15.6%) 0 0 10 6
Quartile 4 (≥15.69%) 0 0 0 21
No event (n = 358)
Quartile 1 (<6.24%) 81 13 0 0 38 44 0.3
Quartile 2 (6.24–9.57%) 16 66 14 0
Quartile 3 (9.57–15.6%) 0 18 61 11
Quartile 4 (≥15.69%) 0 0 10 67
Net reclassification improvement = 0.11 0.105
P = 0.065
Model II (clinical +1 echo + ≥1 abnormal ECG) Increased risk Decreased risk Net correctly reclassified %
Composite endpoints (n = 49) Quartile 1 (<6.32%) Quartile 2 (6.32–9.42%) Quartile 3 (9.42–15.87%) Quartile 4 (≥15.99%) n n %
(Clinical + 1echo)
Quartile 1 (<6.32%) 4 0 0 0 4 0 8.2
Quartile 2 (6.32–9.42%) 3 5 0 0
Quartile 3 (9.42–15.87%) 0 0 11 4
Quartile 4 (≥15.99%) 0 0 0 22
Reclassified
Increased risk Decreased risk Net correctly reclassified %
No event (n = 358) Quartile 1 (<6.32%) Quartile 2 (6.32–9.42%) Quartile 3 (9.42–15.87%) Quartile 4 (≥15.99%) n n %
Quartile 1 (<6.32%) 83 11 0 0 37 38 0.3
Quartile 2 (6.32–9.42%) 18 64 14 0
Quartile 3 (9.42–15.87%) 0 12 68 12
Quartile 4 (≥15.99%) 0 0 8 62
Net reclassification improvement = 0.085 0.085
P = 0.074
Model II (clinical +2 Echo + ≥1 abnormal ECG) Increased risk Decreased risk Net correctly reclassified %
Composite endpoints (n = 49) Quartile 1 (<5.69%) Quartile 2 (5.69–9.42%) Quartile 3 (9.42–15.76%) Quartile 4 (≥15.76%) n n %
(Clinical+ 2 Echo)
Quartile 1 (<5.69%) 5 0 0 0 1 4 −6.1
Quartile 2 (5.69–9.42%) 1 5 0 0
Quartile 3 (9.42–15.76%) 0 1 7 1
Quartile 4 (≥15.76%) 0 0 2 27
Reclassified
Increased Risk Decreased Risk Net correctly reclassified %
No event (n = 358) Quartile 1 (<5.69%) Quartile 2 (5.69–9.42%) Quartile 3 (9.42–15.76%) Quartile 4 (≥15.76%) n n %
Quartile 1 (<5.69%) 84 11 0 0 23 40 4.7
Quartile 2 (5.69–9.42%) 15 75 8 0
Quartile 3 (9.42–15.76%) 0 17 71 4
Quartile 4 (≥15.76%) 0 0 8 63
Net reclassification improvement = −0.014 −0.014

ECG, electrocardiogram.

Clinical = age, gender, Charlson score.