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. 2017 Nov 4;7(11):e018068. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2017-018068

Table 3.

Cumulative relative risk (and 95% confidence bounds) of maximum temperature on non-communicable disease years of life lost in Nouna stratified across lag 0–4 and lag 0–14 days and gender between 2000 and 2010. Relative risks are presented for: heat effects as 38.9°C, 41.1°C, 41.7°C and 42.8°C with reference to 36.4°C; cold effects as 27.8°C, 30°C, 31.1°C and 33.3°C with reference to 36.4°C. Results controlled for long-term trends, season, day of the week and heaping effect

27.8°C
(1st percentile)
30°C
(5th percentile)
31.1°C
(10th percentile)
33.3°C
(25th percentile)
38.9°C
(75th percentile)
41.4°C
(90th percentile)
41.7°C
(95th percentile)
42.8°C
(99th percentile)
34 days below 27.8°C 174 days below 30°C 325 days below 31.3°C 912 days below 33.3°C 883 days above 38.9°C 300 days above 41.4°C 189 days above 41.7°C 28 days above 42.8°C
RR (95% CI) RR (95% CI) RR (95% CI) RR (95% CI) RR (95% CI) RR (95% CI) RR (95% CI) RR (95% CI)
Lag structure 0–4
 All ages 0.54 (0.22 to 1.36) 0.82 (0.56 to 1.21) 0.93 (0.72 to 1.21) 1.00 (0.99 to 1.01) 1.29 (0.81 to 2.04) 1.96 (1.05 to 3.67) 2.08 (1.08 to 4.01) 2.61 (1.07 to 6.35)
 Male 0.53 (0.15 to 1.86) 0.77 (0.46 to 1.3) 0.88 (0.62 to 1.25) 1.00 (0.99 to 1.01) 1.36 (0.74 to 2.49) 2.56 (1.14 to 5.75) 2.86 (1.23 to 6.69) 4.60 (1.45 to 14.64)
 Female 0.38 (0.10 to 1.41) 0.81 (0.47 to 1.4) 0.99 (0.68 to 1.43) 1.00 (0.99 to 1.01) 1.05 (0.54 to 2.04) 1.20 (0.49 to 2.98) 1.19 (0.46 to 3.05) 1.06 (0.30 to 3.79)
Lag structure 0–14
 All ages 0.89 (0.22 to 3.67) 0.94 (0.53 to 1.65) 0.96 (0.64 to 1.42) 1.00 (0.99 to 1.01) 1.65 (0.82 to 3.35) 1.98 (0.71 to 5.54) 1.98 (0.66 to 5.91) 1.88 (0.41 to 8.75)
 Male 0.71 (0.11 to 4.63) 0.91 (0.43 to 1.94) 0.97 (0.57 to 1.66) 1.00 (0.99 to 1.01) 1.57 (0.62 to 3.97) 2.11 (0.57 to 7.85) 2.14 (0.53 to 8.70) 2.16 (0.29 to 16.35)
 Female 1.24 (0.16 to 9.27) 1.09 (0.49 to 2.46) 1.05 (0.59 to 1.84) 1.00 (0.98 to 1.02) 1.42 (0.50 to 3.99) 1.28 (0.28 to 5.97) 1.21 (0.24 to 6.17) 0.92 (0.10 to 8.30)

RR, relative risk.