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. 2017 Nov 4;7(11):e018068. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2017-018068

Table 6.

Excess average daily NCD-YLL (and 95% confidence bounds) in Nouna stratified by individual lag days for all ages, men and women between 2000 and 2010. Relative risks were used to calculate excess average daily NCD-YLL as follows: (Average daily NCD-YLL of all ages, male or female × relative risk) − Average daily NCD-YLL. NCD-YLL are presented for heat effects as 41.7°C (95th percentile) with reference to 36.4°C, cold effects as 30°C (5th percentile) with reference to 36.4°C. Results controlled for long-term trends, season, day of the week and heaping effect

All ages Male Female
30°C (5th percentile) 41.7°C (95th percentile) 30°C (5th percentile) 41.7°C (95th percentile) 30°C (5th percentile) 41.7°C (95th percentile)
174 days below 30°C 189 days above 41.7°C 174 days below 30°C 189 days above 41.7°C 174 days below 30°C 189 days above 41.7°C
YLL (95% CI) YLL (95% CI) YLL (95% CI)
lag 0 −0.16 (−0.50 to 0.20) 0.81 (0.13 to 1.59) −0.09 (−0.31 to 0.16) 0.58 (0.11 to 1.15) −0.08 (−0.29 to 0.16) 0.15 (−0.25 to 0.63)
lag 1 −0.14 (−0.45 to 0.19) 0.72 (0.12 to 1.41) −0.08 (−0.28 to 0.15) 0.51 (0.09 to 1.01) −0.06 (−0.26 to 0.15) 0.13 (−0.23 to 0.56)
lag 2 −0.12 (−0.40 to 0.17) 0.63 (0.09 to 1.24) −0.07 (−0.25 to 0.13) 0.44 (0.07 to 0.87) −0.05 (−0.23 to 0.14) 0.11 (−0.21 to 0.50)
lag 3 −0.10 (−0.35 to 0.16) 0.55 (0.07 to 1.08) −0.06 (−0.22 to 0.12) 0.38 (0.05 to 0.75) −0.04 (−0.20 to 0.13) 0.10 (−0.20 to 0.43)
lag 4 −0.08 (−0.30 to 0.15) 0.46 (0.04 to 0.93) −0.05 (−0.19 to 0.11) 0.31 (0.02 to 0.64) −0.03 (−0.17 to 0.13) 0.08 (−0.19 to 0.38)
lag 5 −0.06 (−0.25 to 0.14) 0.38 (0.00 to 0.79) −0.04 (−0.17 to 0.10) 0.25 (−0.01 to 0.54) −0.01 (−0.14 to 0.12) 0.06 (−0.18 to 0.33)
lag 6 −0.04 (−0.22 to 0.14) 0.30 (−0.06 to 0.68) −0.03 (−0.15 to 0.10) 0.19 (−0.05 to 0.45) 0.00 (−0.12 to 0.12) 0.04 (−0.18 to 0.30)
lag 7 −0.02 (−0.19 to 0.16) 0.21 (−0.12 to 0.58) −0.01 (−0.13 to 0.11) 0.12 (−0.10 to 0.37) 0.01 (−0.10 to 0.13) 0.03 (−0.19 to 0.27)
lag 8 0.00 (−0.17 to 0.18) 0.13 (−0.20 to 0.50) 0.00 (−0.12 to 0.12) 0.07 (−0.16 to 0.31) 0.03 (−0.09 to 0.14) 0.01 (−0.21 to 0.26)
lag 9 0.02 (−0.16 to 0.21) 0.06 (−0.30 to 0.44) 0.01 (−0.12 to 0.14) 0.01 (−0.22 to 0.26) 0.04 (−0.08 to 0.17) −0.01 (−0.24 to 0.25)
lag 10 0.04 (−0.16 to 0.26) −0.02 (−0.40 to 0.39) 0.02 (−0.13 to 0.17) −0.05 (−0.30 to 0.23) 0.05 (−0.08 to 0.19) −0.02 (−0.27 to 0.26)
lag 11 0.06 (−0.17 to 0.31) −0.10 (−0.51 to 0.36) 0.03 (−0.14 to 0.20) −0.10 (−0.37 to 0.2) 0.07 (−0.08 to 0.22) −0.04 (-0.31 to 0.27)
lag 12 0.08 (−0.18 to 0.36) −0.17 (−0.62 to 0.33) 0.04 (−0.15 to 0.24) −0.16 (−0.45 to 0.17) 0.08 (−0.09 to 0.26) −0.06 (−0.35 to 0.29)
lag 13 0.11 (−0.19 to 0.42) −0.25 (−0.74 to 0.31) 0.05 (−0.16 to 0.28) −0.21 (−0.52 to 0.15) 0.09 (−0.10 to 0.30) −0.07 (−0.40 to 0.31)
lag 14 0.13 (−0.21 to 0.49) −0.32 (−0.85 to 0.29) 0.06 (−0.17 to 0.32) −0.26 (−0.60 to 0.13) 0.11 (−0.11 to 0.34) −0.09 (−0.44 to 0.34)

NCD, non-communicable disease; YLL, years of life lost.