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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2017 Nov 21.
Published in final edited form as: Arch Phys Med Rehabil. 2012 Mar 21;93(8):1408–1413.e1. doi: 10.1016/j.apmr.2012.02.032

Table 2.

Predictive Values and Likelihood Ratios for Categories of Discharge Destinations Alone or in Combination for (unfavorable) Outcome Defined by the MRS at 3 and 12 Months

Discharge Destinations Positive Predictive Value (%) Negative Predictive Value (%) Positive Likelihood Ratio (95% CI) Negative Likelihood Ratio (95% CI)




MRS 2–6 MRS 3–6 MRS 4–6 MRS 2–6 MRS 3–6 MRS 4–6 MRS 2–6 MRS 3–6 MRS 4–6 MRS 2–6 MRS 3–6 MRS 4–6
Unfavorable Outcome Defined by the MRS at 3mo
 Home 28 15 10 13 24 46 0.3 (0.2–0.3) 0.2 (0.1–0.3) 0.21 (0.1–0.3) 4.5 (3.3–6.1) 3.4 (2.7–4.2) 2.3 (1.9–2.7)
 Relative’s/friend’s home 48 43 19 39 51 66 0.6 (0.3–1.4) 0.8 (0.3–1.9) 0.47 (0.2–1.4) 1.0 (0.9–1.1) 1.0 (0.9–1.0) 1.0 (0.9–1.0)
 Rehabilitation facility 89 75 49 58 69 76 5.3 (3.5–7.9) 3.2 (2.4–4.2) 1.87 (1.5–2.3) 0.5 (0.4–0.5) 0.4 (0.4–0.5) 0.6 (0.5–0.7)
 Nursing home 95 92 84 45 57 73 13 (4.1–41) 12 (4.8–29) 10 (5.3–19) 0.8 (0.7–0.8) 0.8 (0.7–0.8) 0.7 (0.7–0.8)
 Rehabilitation facility/nursing home discharge 90 79 57 71 83 90 6.2 (4.3–8.9) 4.0 (3.1–5.1) 2.6 (2.2–3.0) 0.3 (0.2–0.3) 0.2 (0.2–0.3) 0.2 (0.2–0.3)
Unfavorable Outcome Defined by the MRS at 12mo
 Home 23 18 19 18 30 52 0.3 (0.2–0.3) 0.2 (0.2–0.3) 0.3 (0.2–0.4) 3.3 (2.5–4.2) 2.6 (2.2–3.2) 1.9 (1.6–2.2)
 Relative’s/friend’s home 53 42 32 41 53 67 0.8 (0.3–1.9) 0.8 (0.3–2.0) 0.9 (0.3–2.5) 1.0 (0.9–1.0) 1.0 (0.97–1.0) 1.0 (0.9–1.0)
 Rehabilitation facility 82 67 41 57 66 73 3.2 (2.3–4.4) 2.3 (1.8–2.9) 1.4 (1.2–1.8) 0.5 (0.5–0.6) 0.5 (0.5–0.7) 0.7 (0.6–0.91)
 Nursing home 93 88 78 46 58 73 9.7 (3.6–26) 8.3 (3.8–18) 7.2 (4.0–13) 0.8 (0.8–0.8) 0.8 (0.7–0.8) 0.7 (0.6–0.8)
 Rehabilitation facility/nursing home discharge 84 72 50 69 79 85 3.8 (2.9–5.1) 2.9 (2.4–3.5) 2.0 (1.7–2.3) 0.3 (0.3–0.4) 0.3 (0.2–0.4) 0.4 (0.2–0.5)