Figure 2.

Predicted transition probabilities for individuals with varying levels of trait neuroticism (M = 24.45, SD = 5.42 in the sample), based on the point estimates (posterior medians) of the model parameters given in Table 1. It can be seen that individuals with higher trait neuroticism are more likely to start experiencing negative affect (i.e., their π₁₂ is larger) and, once this happens, they are also less likely to stop experiencing it (i.e., their π₂₁ is smaller).