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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2018 Nov 1.
Published in final edited form as: Multivariate Behav Res. 2017 Sep 28;52(6):747–767. doi: 10.1080/00273171.2017.1370364

Figure 8.

Figure 8

Observed (left) and predicted (right) states for three persons with widely differing switching rates. In generating the predicted data, the posterior medians were used as point estimates of the transition logits. Note that the specific day at which a person is predicted to switch states is not indicative of model fit, since no time-varying predictors were used; it is the overall pattern (switching frequency, time spent in specific states) that should match between the observed and predicted data.