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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2018 Dec 1.
Published in final edited form as: Ann Emerg Med. 2017 Jun 2;70(6):759–768.e2. doi: 10.1016/j.annemergmed.2017.03.019

Table 2a.

Test characteristics of the electronic sepsis alert (ESA) and ESA with clinician-identified cases. Severe sepsis was defined either as development of severe sepsis defined by consensus definitions requiring PICU care within 24 hours of ED stay or utilization of the ED sepsis pathway. Confounding by medical treatment analysis assumes that all patients treated on the sepsis pathway but not requiring PICU care were false positives (ie were unnecessarily treated). Additional sensitivity analysis included only those patients requiring vasoactive mediations as true positives.

Sensitivity Specificity Positive Predictive Value Negative Predictive Value Likelihood Ratio Positive Likelihood Ratio Negative

Test Characteristic (95%CI)
ESA + 86.2 (82.0, 89.5) 99.1 (99.0, 99.2) 25.4 (22.8, 28.0) 100.0 (99.9, 100.0) 100.2 (92.59, 108.6) 0.14 (0.11, 0.18)
ESA + and Clinician Identified Sepsis 99.4 (97.8, 99.8) 99.1 (99.1, 99.2) 28.5 (25.9, 31.2) 100.0 (99.9, 100.0) 115.6 (107.9, 103.7) 0.01 (0.00, 0.02)
Confounding by Medical Intervention ESA + only 77.0 (70.5, 82.7) 99.0 (98.9, 99.1) 13.6 (11.7, 15.8) 100.0 (99.9, 100.0) 77.5(70.2, 85.6) 0.23 (0.2, 0.3)
Confounding by Medical Intervention ESA + and Clinician Identified Sepsis 99.0 (96.4, 99.9) 99.0 (98.9, 99.1) 16.9 (16.0, 17.8) 100.0 (99.9, 100.0) 99.6 (93.3, 106.2) 0.01 (0.00, 0.04)
True Positives Require Vasoactives: ESA+ only 83.9(66.3, 94.6) 98.9 (98.8, 99.0) 2.4(2.0, 2.8) 99.9(99.9, 100.0) 75.1(63.7, 88.6) 0.16 (0.07, 0.36)
True Positives Require Vasoactives: ESA+ and Clinician Identified Sepsis 95.1(83.5, 99.4) 98.9(98.8, 99.0) 3.5(3.2, 3.8) 100.0 (99.0, 100.0) 85.5 (78.0, 93.6) 0.05 (0.01, 0.19)