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. 2017 Nov 16;7(11):e018595. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2017-018595

Table 3.

ROC analysis for in-hospital and 2.5-year MACEs

Parameters AUC 95% CI P Value Threshold Sensitivity, % Specificity, %
2.5-year MACEs
 Δapelin-12 0.547 0.500 to 0.593 0.0906 20% 91.53 30.64
 apelin-12 0.619 0.573 to 0.663 0.0001*  0.87 75.36 42.03
 eGFR 0.565 0.518 to 0.611 0.0369* 86.13 53.39 63.87
 LVEF 0.597 0.551 to 0.642 0.0015* 50% 59.32 56.94
Apelin-12>0.76 ng/mL
 Δapelin-12 0.530 0.454 to 0.605 0.4767 17% 92.31 39.81
 Apelin-12≤0.76 ng/mL
 Δapelin-12 0.613 0.547 to 0.675 0.0075* 20% 100.00 30.77
In-hospital MACEs
 Δapelin-12 0.507 0.460 to 0.553 0.8711 20% 3.23 73.44
 apelin-12 0.623 0.577 to 0.667 0.0169*  0.64 51.61 70.67
 eGFR 0.543 0.497 to 0.589 0.4021 86.98 58.06 59.12
 LVEF 0.674 0.629 to 0.716 0.0005* 52% 83.87 43.42

*Statistically significant value (P<0.05).

AUC, area under curves; eGFR, estimated glomerular filtration rate; LVEF, left ventricular ejection fraction; MACEs, major adverse cardiovascular events; ROC, receiver operating characteristic.