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. 2017 Aug 3;63(Suppl 1):123–136. doi: 10.1007/s00038-017-1023-0

Table 3.

Rates and 95% uncertainty levels (UL) of age-standardized incidence and prevalence of HIV/AIDS per 100,000 population

Location Incidence (95% UL) Prevalence (95% UL)
1990 2005 2015 1990 2005 2015
Eastern Mediterranean Region 2.9 (2.0–4.9) 4.7 (4.0–5.7) 5.3 (3.9–7.9) 9.1 (5.1–16.4) 23.4 (20.0–28.1) 28.4 (22.3–39.8)
Low and lower middle income
 Afghanistan 2.7 (0.2–20.5) 1.2 (0.4–4.2) 2.6 (0.6–7.3) 10.4 (0.7–57.8) 9.3 (1.9–49.0) 14.9 (4.8–46.7)
 Somalia 24.7 (13.1–45.8) 47.4 (34.8–62.4) 29.2 (18.7–45.0) 79.5 (41.1–143.5) 359.2 (276.3–466.0) 293.1 (224.8–380.7)
 Djibouti 134.5 (58.4–281.3) 115.8 (82.6–159.5) 90.9 (55.0–142.4) 577.6 (198.5–1501.1) 1176.9 (932.3–1472.4) 919.7 (714.8–1161.9)
 Egypt 0.3 (0.2–0.5) 0.5 (0.4–0.8) 1.2 (0.7–1.9) 0.0 (0.0–0.0) 0.5 (0.1–1.1) 3.1 (1.6–4.7)
 Morocco 1.6 (1.3–1.9) 3.9 (3.2–5.2) 4.7 (3.9–5.9) 0.0 (0.0–0.0) 12.3 (7.6–17.7) 18.6 (10.2–29.5)
 Pakistan 0.9 (0.4–4.3) 1.8 (0.9–4.5) 5.6 (1.9–15.0) 0.7 (0.0–4.6) 2.6 (0.4–9.4) 22.3 (6.0–59.6)
 Palestine 0.4 (0.2–0.6) 1.3 (0.9–1.9) 2.0 (1.0–3.4) 0.0 (0.0–0.0) 3.2 (1.6–5.1) 7.0 (3.7–12.0)
 Sudan 15.8 (6.0–31.2) 29.7 (22.0–38.5) 15.7 (7.2–27.5) 79.2 (25.8–155.2) 197.1 (155.7–249.7) 167.5 (131.9–213.6)
 Syria 0.2 (0.2–0.3) 0.2 (0.1–0.2) 0.4 (0.2–0.5) 0.0 (0.0–0.0) 0.0 (0.0–0.0) 0.6 (0.1–1.7)
 Tunisia 0.9 (0.6–1.3) 1.7 (1.1–2.6) 3.0 (1.8–5.0) 0.3 (0.1–0.7) 6.5 (3.3–10.5) 16.0 (7.7–26.9)
 Yemen 6.4 (3.4–31.1) 4.4 (3.3–8.0) 3.7 (2.1–7.5) 17.3 (2.1–97.8) 11.9 (4.0–41.6) 16.8 (5.0–41.4)
Upper middle and high income
 Iran 2.4 (2.0–3.3) 5.4 (4.6–6.3) 6.9 (5.8–8.2) 0.9 (0.4–1.5) 9.4 (6.6–14.4) 11.4 (7.8–17.8)
 Iraq 0.2 (0.1–0.4) 0.7 (0.5–1.2) 1.6 (0.4–3.2) 0.0 (0.0–0.0) 2.0 (1.0–3.2) 7.6 (3.8–13.4)
 Jordan 0.2 (0.1–0.4) 0.3 (0.2–0.5) 0.4 (0.1–0.8) 0.0 (0.0–0.0) 0.2 (0.0–0.5) 0.4 (0.0–0.9)
 Lebanon 8.8 (1.6–62.0) 2.4 (1.0–7.0) 2.7 (1.0–6.8) 63.0 (4.3–447.4) 34.6 (6.3–175.9) 28.6 (7.0–123.0)
 Libya 6.8 (2.2–34.0) 5.4 (2.5–16.5) 5.7 (2.4–16.1) 26.0 (0.3–182.8) 24.4 (1.5–134.4) 29.8 (2.8–84.1)
 Bahrain 2.8 (1.5–6.2) 3.0 (2.2–4.3) 4.0 (1.5–7.6) 9.2 (0.3–20.1) 21.0 (9.1–46.2) 28.5 (12.5–54.1)
 Kuwait 0.9 (0.5–1.6) 0.4 (0.3–0.6) 0.4 (0.1–0.6) 0.4 (0.0–1.0) 0.0 (0.0–0.0) 0.0 (0.0–0.0)
 Oman 1.0 (0.7–1.5) 3.5 (2.6–4.9) 3.1 (2.2–4.1) 1.4 (0.6–2.8) 29.3 (19.3–43.1) 33.7 (18.3–50.5)
 Qatar 1.1 (0.4–3.0) 0.3 (0.2–0.6) 0.4 (0.1–0.8) 5.5 (1.3–9.7) 2.5 (0.8–4.7) 0.9 (0.2–1.8)
 Saudi Arabia 4.0 (1.4–17.8) 3.3 (2.1–6.3) 3.8 (2.2–6.6) 15.2 (2.5–80.5) 21.1 (11.0–48.4) 28.2 (16.4–51.7)
 United Arab Emirates 6.1 (0.8–32.3) 4.0 (0.8–18.4) 4.7 (0.8–15.7) 11.2 (0.2–51.8) 26.0 (1.6–97.2) 36.0 (3.6–155.5)

Global Burden of Disease 2015 study, Eastern Mediterranean countries, 1990–2015