Table 2.
Effects of the training measures on performance score derived from the quadratic mixed model.
| Change in performance scorea (mean; ±90%CL) | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| −1 SD from the mean load | +1 SD from the mean load | Recommendation for training | |
| WEEKLY LOAD | |||
| Defender | 0.9; ±2.9000 | –8.3; ±6.2** | Reduce by 0 to ~1 SD |
| Forward | 1.7; ±2.900 | –5.8; ±5.7* | Reduce by 0 to ~1 SD |
| Midfielder | 5.0; ±4.2 * | –9.7; ±6.8** | Reduce by >1 SD |
| Ruck | −1.0; ±9.3 | −0.3; ±10.8 | No change |
| 1.5-WEEK SMOOTHED LOAD | |||
| Defender | –0.5; ±2.9000 | −4.1; ±5.9* | No change |
| Forward | 0.5; ±2.8000 | −1.1; ±4.900 | Reduce by 0 to ~1 SD |
| Midfielder | 4.4; ±4.1 * | –5.7; ±5.9* | Reduce by >1 SD |
| Ruck | 1.2; ±7.8 | −8.7; ±13.3* | Reduce by ~1 SD |
| 4-WEEK SMOOTHED LOAD | |||
| Defender | –0.9; ±2.9000 | −2.3; ±5.100 | No change |
| Forward | –0.8; ±2.8000 | 1.9; ±4.200 | Increase by >1 SD |
| Midfielder | 3.5; ±5.3* | −2.2; ±6.400 | Reduce by >1 SD |
| Ruck | −1.9; ±5.5000 | −5.3; ±10.8 | No change |
| 1.5-WK DIFFERENTIAL LOAD | |||
| Defender | 1.3; ±4.000 | –2.9; ±3.800 | Reduce by ~1 SD |
| Forward | 1.5; ±4.100 | –4.8; ±3.4* | Reduce by ~1 SD |
| Midfielder | 3.1; ±6.2* | –3.8; ±5.1* | Reduce by >1 SD |
| Ruck | 8.7; ±10.7* | 0.1; ±5.3 | Reduce by >1 SD |
| 4-WEEK DIFFERENTIAL LOAD | |||
| Defender | 0.5; ±3.1000 | –3.6; ±4.4* | Reduce by 0 to ~1 SD |
| Forward | 2.1; ±3.000 | –7.6; ±4.1** | Reduce by ~1 SD |
| Midfielder | 3.2; ±4.600 | –6.9; ±5.6* | Reduce by ~1 SD |
| Ruck | 2.8; ±6.400 | 2.9; ±6.1* | Reduce by >1 SD |
| STRAIN | |||
| Defender | −3.3; ±7.4* | 1.4; ±4.800 | Increase by ~1 SD |
| Forward | 0.6; ±6.4 | −0.8; ±4.000 | Reduce by 0 to ~1 SD |
| Midfielder | 3.3; ±13.0 | −3.8; ±8.5* | Reduce by >1 SD |
| Ruck | −9.3; ±11.6* | 2.3; ±5.600 | Increase by ~1 SD |
| MONOTONY | |||
| Defender | −3.1; ±7.6* | 1.4; ±5.000 | Increase by ~1 SD |
| Forward | 1.2; ±6.8 | −1.0; ±4.000 | Reduce by >1 SD |
| Midfielder | −1.1; ±13.1 | −1.9; ±6.90 | No change |
| Ruck | −11.1; ±11.3** | 3.6; ±5.8* | Increase by ~1 SD |
| ACUTE:CHRONIC RATIO | |||
| Defender | 0.1; ±3.4000 | –5.9; ±4.9* | No change |
| Forward | 2.6; ±3.900 | –3.4; ±3.7* | Reduce by ~1 SD |
| Midfielder | 1.0; ±4.900 | −1.8; ±5.700 | Reduce by 0 to ~1 SD |
| Ruck | 15.1; ±19.5** | −7.6; ±38.1 | Reduce by >1 SD |
±90%CL: 90% confidence limits.
Probabilistic inference reflecting a change in the performance score exceeding the smallest important change (±5 units).
Likelihood for clear substantial effects:
possibly,
likely,
very likely,
most likely.
Likelihood for clear trivial effects:
possibly,
likely,
very likely,
most likely.
Results in bold represent effects clear at the 99% level; all others with superscript clear at 90%.
Performance scores have arbitrary units.
Predicted values refer to Figure 1.
The effects are the changes in performance score between the predicted valuesb with confidence limits with probabilistic inferences, and with recommendations for training for playing-position groups.