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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2018 Jun 1.
Published in final edited form as: Popul Environ. 2017 Mar 27;38:465–490. doi: 10.1007/s11111-017-0273-3

Figure 4.

Figure 4

Composition of Birth Cohorts by Mother’s Race and Ethnicity, New Orleans Metropolitan Area

Source: NCHS vital statistics data and U.S. Census Bureau intercensal population estimates.

Notes: Estimates use counterfactual age specific fertility rates (ASFR), given in Eq. 3, or the fertility rates that would have been expected had fertility in New Orleans experienced the same period trends observed in comparison populations. (2) Estimates expected in the absence of the disaster are generated with New Orleans’ pre-disaster population of reproductive-age women subject to counterfactual ASFR. (3) Estimates for disaster composition effects only are generated with New Orleans’ post-disaster population of reproductive-age women subject to counterfactual ASFR values. (4) The observed births 2006–2010 are those observed in the vital statistics data; these reveal the disaster effects on both the composition of reproductive-age women and on the ASFR schedule.