Table 1.
Posterior median and 95% highest-posterior density intervals (HPDI) for gamma-distributed latent and infectious period parameters, transmission parameter and basic reproduction number for three transmission experiments.
| Latent period† | Infectious period | Transmission parameter | R 0 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Contact | Inoculated | ||||||||||
| Shape | Mean | Shape | Mean | Shape | Mean | Within-pen | Between-pen | Within-pen | Between-pen | ||
| FMDV in lambs | mean | 3.31 | 1.12 | — | — | 5.22 | 15.4 | 0.09 | — | 1.43 | — |
| 95% HPDI | (0.53, 7.74) | (0.70, 1.61) | — | — | (1.56, 10.6) | (11.2, 21.7) | (0.03, 0.19) | — | (0.33, 3.04) | — | |
| FMDV in pigs (unvaccinated) | mean | 1.35 | 0.14 | 1.39 | 0.97 | 14.14 | 5.70 | 1.51 | — | 8.54 | — |
| 95% HPDI | (0.22, 3.65) | (0.01, 0.33) | (0.18, 3.39) | (0.40, 1.67) | (6.86, 22.1) | (5.12, 6.33) | (0.75, 2.55) | — | (4.28, 14.9) | — | |
| FMDV in pigs (vaccinated) | mean | 1.44 | 0.27 | — | — | 5.55 | 4.74 | 0.36 | — | 1.70 | — |
| 95% HPDI | (0.24, 3.79) | (0.03, 0.65) | — | — | (2.38, 9.66) | (3.82, 5.85) | (0.16, 0.59) | — | (0.73, 2.91) | — | |
| ASFV in pigs | mean | 19.2 | 6.08 | 12.0 | 2.80 | 22.7 | 9.15 | 2.62 | 0.99 | 24.1 | 9.17 |
| 95% HPDI | (6.77, 36.7) | (4.94, 7.19) | (2.69, 27.6) | (2.28, 3.31) | (4.77, 53.4) | (6.67, 12.3) | (0.96, 5.61) | (0.31, 1.98) | (7.34, 54.2) | (2.67, 19.2) | |
†For FMDV in lambs there was no significant difference in latent period between inoculated and contact-infected animals.