Table 3.
Spatial lag econometric regression of slave concentration and heart disease decline from 1968–2014, by race.
Confounder adjusted |
Confounder + intermediate adjusted |
||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Black |
White |
Black |
White |
||||||
β | SE | β | SE | β | SE | β | SE | ||
1860 | Slave Concentration | -0.169 | 0.028 | -0.015 | 0.020 | -0.125 | 0.033 | -0.016 | 0.024 |
(Slave Concentration)2 | 0.144 | 0.068 | 0.085 | 0.050 | 0.133 | 0.072 | 0.081 | 0.052 | |
Population count (log) | -0.002 | 0.003 | 0.002 | 0.002 | -0.007 | 0.004 | -0.001 | 0.003 | |
Average value of farmland and buildings per acre ($) | 0.006 | 0.004 | 0.003 | 0.003 | 0.009 | 0.005 | 0.000 | 0.003 | |
Annual value of manufacturing products ($) | 0.001 | 0.002 | 0.004 | 0.002 | 0.002 | 0.002 | 0.002 | 0.002 | |
1930 | Illiteracy racial disparity log(Black/White) | -0.010 | 0.006 | -0.003 | 0.004 | ||||
Unemployment racial disparity log(Black/White) | 0.005 | 0.007 | 0.009 | 0.005 | |||||
Median Home Value disparity log(White/Black) | -0.011 | 0.008 | 0.011 | 0.006 | |||||
1970 | Poverty racial disparity log(Black/White) | -0.005 | 0.010 | 0.020 | 0.007 | ||||
Adults with bachelors degree, racial disparity log(White/Black) | 0.004 | 0.007 | 0.019 | 0.005 | |||||
Physicians per 1,000 population | 0.001 | 0.005 | 0.003 | 0.003 | |||||
Rural/Urban | |||||||||
Metropolitan area | Ref | Ref | Ref | ||||||
Non-metro town | -0.026 | 0.008 | -0.020 | 0.006 | -0.028 | 0.008 | -0.016 | 0.006 | |
Rural | -0.016 | 0.009 | -0.008 | 0.006 | -0.025 | 0.010 | 0.006 | 0.007 | |
1877–1950 | Cumulative number of documented lynchingsa | ||||||||
0 | ref | ||||||||
1–10 | -0.011 | 0.007 | -0.006 | 0.005 | |||||
11–20 | -0.039 | 0.014 | -0.019 | 0.010 | |||||
> 20 | -0.008 | 0.024 | -0.018 | 0.017 | |||||
Region | |||||||||
Deep South | Ref | Ref | Ref | ||||||
Upper South | 0.018 | 0.007 | 0.004 | 0.005 | 0.014 | 0.008 | 0.010 | 0.006 | |
Slave Concentration * Region | 0.069 | 0.034 | 0.052 | 0.025 | 0.071 | 0.035 | 0.026 | 0.026 | |
ρ (lag coefficient) | 0.410 | 0.542 | 0.400 | 0.513 |
p < 0.05 for bolded coefficients.