Table C.2.

Assumed transition probabilities for the six-state model.

	Probabilities for time = 1 (control)
	0	1	2	3	4/5	6
	0.150 (0.100)	0.150 (0.100)	0.140 (0.100)	0.100 (0.150)	0.400 (0.480)	0.060 (0.070)
Conditional transition probabilities for time > 1 (control)
	0	1	2	3	4/5	6
0	0.800 (0.720)	0.186 (0.230)	0.010 (0.042)	0.001 (0.002)	0.002 (0.004)	0.001 (0.002)
1	0.200 (0.160)	0.693 (0.676)	0.080 (0.120)	0.001 (0.002)	0.006 (0.012)	0.020 (0.030)
2	0.050 (0.030)	0.280 (0.220)	0.509 (0.528)	0.100 (0.140)	0.021 (0.032)	0.040 (0.050)
3	0.020 (0.010)	0.130 (0.080)	0.230 (0.200)	0.560 (0.620)	0.050 (0.070)	0.010 (0.020)
4/5	0.006 (0.003)	0.020 (0.013)	0.035 (0.028)	0.160 (0.125)	0.619 (0.641)	0.160 (0.190)