Table B.2.

Assumed transition probabilities for the six-state model.

	Probabilities for time = 1 (control)
	0	1	2	3	4/5	6
	0.110 (0.090)	0.130 (0.110)	0.150 (0.110)	0.110 (0.190)	0.370 (0.370)	0.130 (0.130)
Conditional transition probabilities for time > 1 (control)
	0	1	2	3	4/5	6
0	0.800 (0.800)	0.170 (0.170)	0.020 (0.020)	0.005 (0.005)	0.004 (0.004)	0.001 (0.001)
1	0.200 (0.200)	0.680 (0.680)	0.080 (0.080)	0.020 (0.020)	0.015 (0.015)	0.005 (0.005)
2	0.050 (0.050)	0.280 (0.280)	0.540 (0.540)	0.110 (0.110)	0.011 (0.011)	0.009 (0.009)
3	0.030 (0.010)	0.110 (0.050)	0.300 (0.140)	0.480 (0.720)	0.065 (0.065)	0.015 (0.015)
4/5	0.003 (0.003)	0.011 (0.011)	0.034 (0.034)	0.138 (0.138)	0.714 (0.714)	0.100 (0.100)