Table B.3.

Assumed transition probabilities for the five-state^* model

	Probabilities for time = 1 (control)
	0/1	2	3	4/5	6
	0.240 (200)	0.150 (0.110)	0.110 (.190)	0.370 (.370)	0.130 (0.130)
Conditional transition probabilities for time > 1 (control)
	0/1	2	3	4/5	6
0/1	0.925 (0.925)	0.050 (0.050)	0.012 (0.012)	0.010 (0.010)	0.003 (0.003)
2	0.330 (0.330)	0.540 (0.540)	0.110 (0.110)	0.011 (0.011)	0.009 (0.009)
3	0.140 (0.060)	0.300 (0.140)	0.480 (0.720)	0.065 (0.065)	0.015 (0.015)
4/5	0.014 (0.014)	0.034 (0.034)	0.138 (0.138)	0.714 (0.714)	0.100 (0.100)