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. 2017 Jul 2;7(6):e016283. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2017-016283

Table 3.

Sample size calculations for the serological surveys to estimate age-specific rates of high titres of serum IgG anti-H(d) antibodies

Anticipated seroincidence (%) Initial samples (n) Anticipated number of events Follow-up samples (n)* Events detected (n) Binomial exact
(95% CI)
Probability of observing 0 events
0–4 years 0.2 2500 5 2000 4 0.0005 to 0.0051 0.0182
5–9 years 0.4 1300 5.2 1040 4 0.0010 to 0.0098 0.0155
10–14 years 0.8 800 6.4 640 5 0.0025 to 0.0181 0.0059
>14 years 0.2 3900 7.8 3120 6 0.0007 to 0.0042 0.0019
Total 8500 24.2 6800 19

Assumes age-stratified individual sampling; also accounts for detection of 1% chronic carriage rate in those aged ≥10 years.

*Assuming 5% migration and 15% refusal.