Table A7.
Multivariate Models Predicting Poor Academic Performance
| Doubly-Robust Propensity Score Models Predicting End of Term Examination Scores (Percent)a |
Female | Male | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| English Coeff./(se) (1) |
Math Coeff./(se) (1) |
English Coeff./(se) (3) |
Math Coeff./(se) (3) |
|
| Average predicted value if no respondents were in a sexual relationship at wave 3 | 53.67 | 48.31 | 54.89 | 53.74 |
| Average predicted value if all respondents were in a sexual relationship at wave 3 | 51.55 | 47.06 | 51.90 | 55.04 |
| Difference in predicted values (estimate of effect size of sexual relationship status on tests scores) | −2.11 (2.68) | −1.25 (2.83) | −2.99 (2.90) | 1.30 (3.11) |
|
| ||||
| N | 347 | 347 | 214 | 214 |
|
| ||||
| Fixed-Effects Logistic Regression Models Predicting Trouble in school during four months preceding interviewb | Female OR/(se) (3) | Male OR/(se) (4) | ||
|
| ||||
| Respondent was in a sexual relationship | 0.87 (0.25) | 1.16 (0.32) | ||
| Socio-economic Status | 0.99 (0.08) | 1.33 (0.16)* | ||
| Current Year in School | 1.39 (0.16)** | 1.39 (0.18)* | ||
| Trouble paying school fees over past 4 months | 1.11 (0.17) | 1.23 (0.21) | ||
| Decline in health over past 4 months | 1.07 (0.43) | 1.37 (0.22)† | ||
| Probabilistic estimate of being in school in 1 year | 0.99 (0.03) | 1.03 (0.05) | ||
| Employed | 2.77 (2.70) | 0.30 (0.37) | ||
|
| ||||
| N: Observations (Respondents) | 899 (208) | 635 (145) | ||
Notes:
†
0.10,
*
0.05,
**
0.01,
***
0.001.
a
The doubly robust models account for the following covariates: age, socioeconomic status, current level of school, and attitudes and expectations related to education. I measured all these covariates at wave three and used them to estimate both the propensity scores and the outcome model. The outcome measure was measured at wave 4.
b
All independent variables are lagged by one survey wave, so that variables measured at each point in time predict having trouble in school over the subsequent four months.