Table 2.
Comparison of modeling techniques ranked from best to worst based on RMSE values. Both the standard deviation of the predictions and the standard deviation of the difference between predictions and the actual values (Standard Deviation of Residuals) are shown along with the ensemble weighting factors.
Model | RMSE | Standard Deviation | Standard Deviation of Residuals | Mean | Weighting Factor for Custom Ensemble |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Custom Ensemble – Regression Weighting | 15.30 | 6.39 | 15.30 | 19.41 | (Intercept of 0.613) |
GBM | 15.32 | 6.47 | 15.31 | 19.38 | 0.620 |
Linear Regression | 15.38 | 6.80 | 18.35 | 19.47 | 0.118 |
Random Forests | 15.63 | 6.77 | 15.63 | 19.43 | 0.057 |
Decision Trees | 15.81 | 4.84 | 15.81 | 19.45 | 0.096 |
SVM | 15.82 | 5.89 | 15.39 | 14.59 | 0.158 |