Table 5. ILI prediction results for 31 geolocations estimated using RMSPE for nowcasting (this week) and forecasting (one and two weeks in advance).
Locations with min and max correlations are underlined.
This Week | One Week | Two Weeks | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ILI | SM | ILI + SM | ILI | SM | ILI + SM | ILI | SM | ILI + SM | |
L14 | 40.2 | 48.8 | 38.7 | 45.3 | 65.5 | 32.4 | 61.8 | 74.9 | 30.2 |
i2 | 29.0 | 28.2 | 30.3 | 28.7 | 26.9 | 25.2 | 33.7 | 30.3 | 26.2 |
L3 | 39.7 | 41.7 | 55.4 | 53.5 | 73.9 | 40.6 | 52.4 | 68.6 | 53.6 |
L27 | 42.4 | 38.7 | 21.0 | 50.4 | 50.3 | 44.2 | 57.4 | 57.4 | 49.3 |
L20 | 50.2 | 55.7 | 48.7 | 65.6 | 59.8 | 67.1 | 61.2 | 57.4 | 51.2 |
Li25 | 79.1 | 53.9 | 54.0 | 77.4 | 54.4 | 75.1 | 95.2 | 70.1 | 73.4 |
L28 | 36.3 | 31.1 | 26.6 | 43.3 | 51.5 | 34.0 | 51.5 | 58.1 | 37.2 |
L11 | 37.3 | 50.0 | 31.9 | 42.6 | 71.7 | 45.6 | 57.7 | 55.9 | 47.0 |
L25 | 33.7 | 54.4 | 15.5 | 35.4 | 70.9 | 24.2 | 48.1 | 67.2 | 26.7 |
L10 | 38.8 | 40.7 | 33.4 | 38.3 | 37.7 | 33.6 | 49.7 | 54.6 | 29.9 |
L4 | 37.6 | 44.2 | 31.0 | 45.9 | 58.8 | 50.0 | 52.4 | 55.1 | 49.7 |
L29 | 35.0 | 45.1 | 42.1 | 46.0 | 49.2 | 40.2 | 54.6 | 48.7 | 43.3 |
L0 | 28.9 | 25.7 | 20.1 | 29.2 | 32.0 | 26.2 | 35.9 | 45.2 | 34.8 |
L23 | 38.8 | 62.0 | 30.0 | 45.3 | 74.2 | 40.2 | 51.8 | 65.6 | 45.0 |
L12 | 44.9 | 80.3 | 50.6 | 66.5 | 105.0 | 88.9 | 99.1 | 149.2 | 106.4 |
L30 | 48.0 | 62.8 | 35.1 | 54.6 | 75.7 | 48.9 | 63.5 | 75.1 | 60.4 |
L33 | 33.1 | 37.9 | 27.2 | 44.7 | 42.0 | 29.4 | 43.2 | 38.1 | 33.9 |
L15 | 56.9 | 99.5 | 40.5 | 62.2 | 107.5 | 71.9 | 76.8 | 154.6 | 91.0 |
L13 | 49.6 | 54.0 | 34.5 | 55.6 | 73.6 | 51.2 | 64.4 | 81.9 | 57.7 |
L31 | 39.7 | 70.6 | 29.3 | 44.5 | 79.1 | 38.9 | 48.1 | 71.5 | 57.8 |
i3 | 61.6 | 63.1 | 65.8 | 78.1 | 62.4 | 70.4 | 55.9 | 63.6 | 28.9 |
L32 | 43.1 | 97.4 | 88.3 | 57.1 | 97.8 | 74.6 | 71.9 | 141.7 | 97.1 |
L22 | 44.2 | 74.0 | 31.0 | 54.2 | 68.3 | 55.3 | 69.6 | 84.0 | 69.3 |
L21 | 49.7 | 83.5 | 37.7 | 65.0 | 68.7 | 59.5 | 77.0 | 90.0 | 75.7 |
i27 | 32.6 | 67.1 | 46.1 | 51.5 | 62.2 | 53.5 | 58.7 | 72.3 | 61.1 |
L34 | 29.2 | 36.8 | 22.6 | 38.6 | 38.4 | 35.0 | 49.8 | 39.9 | 44.6 |
L37 | 46.7 | 58.2 | 37.5 | 50.0 | 62.3 | 51.4 | 58.2 | 59.8 | 52.0 |
L16 | 42.7 | 50.6 | 38.7 | 51.0 | 57.2 | 50.5 | 59.8 | 54.2 | 54.3 |
i20 | 48.6 | 115.1 | 88.3 | 50.8 | 109.5 | 72.2 | 51.1 | 116.4 | 85.0 |
L19 | 41.8 | 92.8 | 57.8 | 61.4 | 89.0 | 49.8 | 55.6 | 89.7 | 63.0 |
i17 | 87.3 | 169.1 | 88.3 | 128.7 | 183.1 | 154.2 | 150.0 | 181.9 | 150.5 |
Mean | 44.1 | 62.4 | 41.5 | 53.6 | 69.6 | 52.7 | 61.8 | 76.6 | 57.6 |