Table 4.
Sensitivity analysis for base case, low-resource and high-resource country scenarios
| ICER | ICER | ICER | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base case | Low resource | High resource | |
| Tested rate | |||
| 20 | 93.58 | 78.85 | 114.95 |
| 40 | 93.63 | 78.89 | 115.02 |
| 51 (base case) | 93.62 | 78.88 | 115.05 |
| 60 | 93.62 | 78.90 | 115.05 |
| 80 | 93.61 | 78.89 | 115.06 |
| Treated rate | |||
| 16 (base case) | 93.62 | 78.88 | 115.05 |
| 20 | 76.10 | 64.12 | 93.52 |
| 40 | 41.04 | 34.60 | 50.42 |
| 60 | 29.36 | 24.76 | 36.06 |
| 80 | 23.52 | 19.84 | 28.87 |
| Device sensitivity, Microlife | |||
| 70 | 119.59 | 100.77 | 146.99 |
| 80 | 105.49 | 88.90 | 129.71 |
| 90 | 94.57 | 79.71 | 116.21 |
| 91 (base case) | 93.62 | 78.88 | 115.05 |
| 95 | 89.95 | 75.81 | 110.55 |
| 99 | 86.62 | 72.99 | 106.47 |
| 99.5 | 86.22 | 72.67 | 105.96 |
| Device sensitivity, Uristik | |||
| 68 (base case) | 93.62 | 78.88 | 115.05 |
| 70 | 91.10 | 76.79 | 111.99 |
| 80 | 80.47 | 67.83 | 98.89 |
| 90 | 72.18 | 60.84 | 88.74 |
| 95 | 68.70 | 57.91 | 84.43 |
| 99 | 66.17 | 55.78 | 81.33 |
| 99.5 | 65.88 | 55.52 | 80.94 |
| Device specificity, Microlife | |||
| 70 | 278.55 | 234.62 | 342.39 |
| 80 | 188.34 | 158.65 | 231.49 |
| 90 | 98.13 | 82.68 | 120.60 |
| 90.5 (base case) | 93.62 | 78.88 | 115.05 |
| 95 | 53.03 | 44.69 | 65.15 |
| 99 | 16.95 | 14.30 | 20.63 |
| 99.5 | 12.44 | 10.50 | 15.25 |
| Device specificity, Uristik | |||
| 68 (base case) | 93.62 | 78.88 | 115.05 |
| 70 | 88.51 | 74.57 | 108.77 |
| 80 | 62.96 | 53.05 | 77.36 |
| 90 | 37.41 | 31.54 | 45.95 |
| 95 | 24.63 | 20.78 | 30.24 |
| 99 | 14.41 | 12.17 | 17.68 |
| 99.5 | 13.14 | 11.09 | 16.10 |
| Discount rate | |||
| 0% | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.02 |
| 3% (base case) | 93.62 | 78.88 | 115.05 |
| 6% | −0.03 | −0.03 | −0.03 |
| Life expectancy | |||
| 55 (base case) | 93.62 | 78.88 | 115.05 |
| 65 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 0.07 |
| HRQL | |||
| 0.2 | 167.40 | 123.91 | 257.45 |
| 0.25 (base case) | 93.62 | 78.88 | 115.05 |
| 0.3 | 64.98 | 57.87 | 74.08 |
Notes: Table reports simulation results of ICERs from varying the mean of each parameter as indicated for Microlife/Uristik device combination. Each cell represents a separate simulation. Low-resource country scenario (e.g., Nigeria) has high general mortality: untreated survival 92.4%; treated survival 98.93%. High-resource country scenario (e.g., South Africa) has low general mortality: untreated survival 96.4%; treated survival 99.93%.