Table 3. Estimated annual benefits and risks of rotavirus vaccine, France, 2015.
Vaccine coverage scenario | Event | Benefit (prevented RVGE) |
Risk (vaccine-induced IS) |
Benefit–risk ratio | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Median | 2.5th–97.5th percentiles | Median | 2.5th–97.5th percentiles | Median | 2.5th–97.5th percentiles | ||
Current (Rotarix coverage of 6.7% and RotaTeq coverage of 2.9%) | Hospitalisation | 1,074 | 810–1,378 | 5.0 | 3.2– 7.7 | 214 | 128–362 |
Death | 1.4 | 1.2–1. 6 | 0.005 | 0.001–0.015 | 273 | 89–1,228 | |
Rotarix coverage reaching 92% | Hospitalisation | 10,459 | 7,702–13,498 | 47.0 | 25.1–81.4 | 221 | 118–437 |
Death | 13.7 | 11.1–15.2 | 0.05 | 0.01–0.15 | 284 | 86–1,339 | |
RotaTeq coverage reaching 92% | Hospitalisation | 10,291 | 7,901–13,087 | 49.9 | 28.7–81.8 | 206 | 118–376 |
Death | 13.3 | 12.1–14.7 | 0.05 | 0.01–0.16 | 263 | 84–1,180 |
IS: intussusception; RVGE: rotavirus gastroenteritis.