Table 7.
Positive and negative predictive values for clinical scores (LODS, AVPU, SIRS criteria) predicting in-hospital (subgroups malnutrition and severe anemia), early and late mortality.
| Severity of illness measure | Positive predictive value | Negative predictive value | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total (%) | Malnutrition (%) | Severe anemia (%) | Early mortality (%) | Late mortality (%) | Total (%) | Malnutrition (%) | Severe anemia (%) | Early mortality (%) | Late mortality (%) | |
| LODS | ||||||||||
| ≥1 | 18.3 | 21.7 | 21.4 | 40.0 | 10.6 | 90.5 | 87.5 | 90.0 | 77.8 | 92.6 |
| ≥2 | 27.1 | 37.5 | 12.5 | 47.4 | 13.9 | 88.6 | 87.0 | 82.5 | 71.8 | 91.9 |
| 3 | 55.6 | 19.4 | 50.0 | 60.0 | 22.2 | 86.8 | a | 84.8 | 67.9 | 91.2 |
| AVPU score best response | ||||||||||
| Verbal or worse | 41.2 | 42.9 | 16.7 | 39.3 | 24.6 | 91.2 | 87.5 | 83.3 | 70.0 | 94.0 |
| Pain or worse | 43.9 | 40.0 | 20.0 | 40.0 | 25.9 | 90.6 | 84.6 | 83.7 | 69.7 | 93.6 |
| Unresponsive | 33.3 | a | a | 50.0 | 16.7 | 86.5 | 78.6 | 82.6 | 67.3 | 91.1 |
| SIRS criteria | ||||||||||
| ≥3 | 17.0 | 20.0 | 19.4 | 37.5 | 10.5 | 89.8 | 81.2 | 88.2 | 72.2 | 92.8 |
| 4 | 27.1 | 25.0 | 25.0 | 42.1 | 15.3 | 88.6 | 81.5 | 87.5 | 69.2 | 92.2 |
aToo few subjects in a cell to calculate.
LODS, Lambaréné Organ Dysfunction Score; AVPU, alert-verbal-pain-unresponsive score; SIRS, systemic inflammatory response syndrome.