Table 2.
Smallpox | Polio | Measles | |
---|---|---|---|
Biological and technical feasibility | |||
Etiologic agent | Virus | Virus | Virus |
Nonhuman reservoir | No | No | No |
Effective intervention tool | Smallpox vaccine | Oral vaccine | Injectable vaccine |
Simple/practical diagnostic | Clinical diagnosis, confirmed by microscopy (If needed) | Stool culture | IgM |
Sensitive surveillance | Facility and community based | Facility-based | Facility based |
Field-proven strategies | Americas, West Africa | Americas | Americas |
Cost and Benefits | |||
Cases averted per year | >100,000 | 350,000 | >100,000,000 |
Coincident benefits | Creation of Expanded Programme on Immunization | Improved immunization and bio-surveillance | Improved routine immunization and surveillance |
Intangible benefits | Culture of prevention and social equity | Culture of prevention and social equity | Culture of prevention and social equity |
Estimated annual direct global savings | >$100 million per year; averted | US$1.5 billion | >US$2 billion |
Estimated total external financing | c. $100-125 million | US$2.0-2.5 billion (as of 2000) | $7.8 billion [39] |
Social and political considerations | |||
Political commitment (endemic/industrial countries) | Variable/strong | Variable/strong | Variable |
Social support (endemic/industrial countries) | Variable/strong | Variable/strong | Variable |
Core partnerships and advocates | WHO, CDC | WHO, Rotary, CDC, UNICEF | WHO, CDC, UNICEF, American Red Cross, UN Foundation |
Technical consensus | WHA resolutions | World Health Assembly | Regional resolutions |
Note: The first and third columns are reproduced from R. B. Aylward et al., “When is a Disease Eradicable? 100 Years of Lessons Learned”. The second and fourth columns have been added for this article.