Table 7. Validation of the developed phenology model through comparison of observed and simulated developmental and mortality rates of Ceratitis rosa and Ceratitis quilicii life stages.
Eggs | Larvae | Pupa | Euclidian distance | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Developmental time (days) | Mortality (%) |
Developmental time (days) | Mortality (%) | Developmental time (days) | Mortality (%) | ||||
C. rosa | Simulated | 2.325 ± 0.06 | 0.108 ± 0.06 | 9.105 ± 0.16 | 0.198 ± 0.06 | 11.873 ± 0.32 | 0.588 ± 0.18 | Egg | 6.40 |
Observed | 2.253 ± 0.15 | 0.151 ± 0.02 | 8.956 ± 0.10 | 0.139 ± 0.01 | 11.736 ± 0.12 | 0.662 ± 0.07 | Larva | 14.88 | |
P-value | 0.0002 | 0.0045 | 0.0011 | 0.0005 | 0.0587 | 0.0657 | Pupa | 16.20 | |
Female | 8.61 | ||||||||
Male | 17.04 | ||||||||
C. quilicii | Simulated | 2.048 ± 0.11 | 0.102 ± 0.04 | 9.060 ± 0.12 | 0.165 ± 0.06 | 12.182 ± 0.16 | 0.594 ± 0.13 | Egg | 6.39 |
Observed | 2.098 ± 0.35 | 0.137 ± 0.21 | 9.100 ± 0.17 | 0.146 ± 0.09 | 12.019 ± 0.23 | 0.601 ± 0.19 | Larva | 10.99 | |
P-value | 0.0404 | 0.0030 | 0.1552 | 0.1405 | 0.0006 | 0.8272 | Pupa | 8.89 | |
Female | 9.18 | ||||||||
Male | 11.12 |
Average ± SE: standard errors are calculated from the observed and simulated life table data