Table 5.
Sensitivity analysis showing the effects of assumptions and modeling choices on total costs of AHT and costs paid by government
| Change in model | Total cost (billions)a | Costs paid by government (billions)a |
|---|---|---|
| Best model estimates | 13.5 | 1.3 |
| 2% discount rate | 15.0 | 1.5 |
| 4% discount rate | 12.5 | 1.1 |
| 7% discount rate | 11.0 | 0.9 |
| Severity distribution for intentional brain injuries | 7.9 | 1.1 |
| Severity distribution from survey | 17.8 | 1.4 |
| Non-admitted cases from NEDS | 9.1 | 0.9 |
| Medical costs for mild cases only through age 4 | 13.4 | 1.3 |
| Medical costs for mild cases throughout life span | 13.5 | 1.3 |
| Willingness to pay to prevent a homicide of $5.8 million | 12.8 | 1.3 |
| Willingness to pay to prevent a homicide of $13.0 million | 27.9 | 1.3 |
| Willingness to pay to prevent a homicide of $15.0 million | 32.1 | 1.3 |
a
2010 USD