Table 4.
Adjusted odds ratio estimates of the association between duration of EHE95/EHE90 and NTDs by climate region, NBDPS, 1997–2007
South (AR, TX) |
Southeast (NC, GA) |
Northeast (NY) |
Southwest (UT) |
West (CA) |
Upper Midwest (IA) |
Overall NBDPS | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
aOR (95% CI) * | aOR (95% CI) * | aOR (95% CI) * | aOR (95% CI) * | aOR (95% CI) * | aOR (95% CI) * | aOR (95% CI) * | |
EHE95 | |||||||
| |||||||
2 days vs 0 | 0.73 (0.37, 1.43) | 1.15 (0.59, 2.23) | 0.83 (0.24, 3.94) | 0.85 (0.33, 2.18) | 0.50 (0.21, 1.20) | 1.02 (0.46, 2.27) | 0.81 (0.58, 1.13) |
3 days vs 0 | 0.92 (0.35, 2.41) | 1.58 (0.52, 4.82) | 3.28 (0.56, 19.13) | 1.43 (0.40, 5.17) | 0.56 (0.23, 1.39) | 1.35 (0.43, 4.20) | 1.16 (0.74, 1.82) |
4 days vs 0 | 0.71 (0.18, 2.83) | 0.76 (0.13, 4.44) | 6.95 (0.57, 84.68) | 1.21 (0.26, 5.67) | 0.84 (0.29, 2.41) | 2.25 (0.66, 7.70) | 1.14 (0.64, 2.02) |
| |||||||
EHE90 | |||||||
| |||||||
3 days vs 0 | 0.57 (0.26, 1.28) | 0.70 (0.31, 1.60) | 0.60 (0.15, 2.44) | 1.42 (0.45, 4.49) | 0.33 (0.12, 0.94) | 1.12 (0.46, 2.77) | 0.66 (0.45, 0.98) |
4 days vs 0 | 0.26 (0.05, 1.37) | 0.54 (0.14, 2.04) | 2.44 (0.38, 15.92) | 1.28 (0.25, 6.48) | 0.53 (0.21, 1.34) | 1.52 (0.51, 4.48) | 0.77 (0.46, 1.28) |
5 days vs 0 | 0.99 (0.46, 2.11) | 1.56 (0.57, 4.29) | 0.50 (0.02, 12.16) | 0.84 (0.32, 2.19) | 0.89 (0.42, 1.91) | 1.54 (0.56, 4.22) | 1.09 (0.74, 1.59) |
Adjusted for maternal age, maternal race/ethnicity, and maternal body mass index (BMI)
EHE95 = extreme heat event defined as at least two consecutive days with daily universal apparent maximum temperature above the 95th percentile of the universal apparent maximum temperature distribution for the summer season and for climate region; EHE90 = extreme heat event defined as at least three consecutive days with daily universal apparent maximum temperature above the 90th percentile of the universal apparent maximum temperature distribution for the summer season and for climate region; NTDs = neural tube defects; aOR = adjusted odds ratio; CI = confidence interval; AR = Arkansas; TX = Texas; NC = North Carolina; GA = Georgia; NY = New York; UT = Utah; CA = California; IA = Iowa; NBDPS = National Birth Defects Prevention Study